Thinking in Bets

Thinking in Bets PDF

Author: Annie Duke

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2019-05-07

Total Pages: 289

ISBN-13: 0735216371

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A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.

How to Decide

How to Decide PDF

Author: Annie Duke

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2020-10-13

Total Pages: 290

ISBN-13: 0593418484

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Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut. What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive? Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn: • To identify and dismantle hidden biases. • To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek. • To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions. • When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance. • To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values. Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.

Quit

Quit PDF

Author: Annie Duke

Publisher: Noura Books

Published: 2022-06-13

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 6232423720

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"Dalam berbagai situasi, kita sering kali dihadapkan dengan pilihan sulit: bertahan, berubah arah, atau bahkan berhenti (quit). Nyatanya, walau banyak pertanda tak ada guna untuk tetap bertahan, berhenti identik dengan kata gagal, sehingga tak pernah jadi pilihan. Annie Duke menawarkan strategi berbasis sains yang dapat mengasah keterampilan untuk mengetahui kapan kita harus memilih berhenti dan bagaimana cara melakukannya. Saat Anda sedang menghadapi permasalahan bisnis, karier, atau bahkan hubungan pribadi, piawai dalam memilih mana hal yang harus dipertahankan atau tidak dapat membantu Anda untuk menentukan langkah terbaik berikutnya. Hidup ini singkat. Tak sepatutnya kita membuang waktu, energi, atau uang karena terus mempertahankan keputusan yang salah."

Decide to Play Great Poker

Decide to Play Great Poker PDF

Author: Annie Duke

Publisher: Huntington Press Inc

Published: 2011-07-01

Total Pages: 464

ISBN-13: 1935396323

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Poker is a game of table position, flop texture, players in a hand, personalities, and so much more. This book teaches you how to identify and analyze those variables, become a great strategist, and have confidence in any poker situation. Decide to Play Great Poker is written by Annie Duke, the world's most renowned woman poker player, with John Vorhaus, himself a winning poker player and prolific author.

Annie Duke

Annie Duke PDF

Author: Annie Duke

Publisher:

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781594630125

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The top-ranked female poker player in the world reveals an insider's view of the World Series of Poker. Annie Lederer grew up in a card-playing family, whose dual mantra was "Education is everything" and "win at all costs." At 26, when the Columbia alum suddenly developed a panic disorder just before finishing her doctorate, she freaked and fled to Montana. Months later, on a lark, she began to hone her poker skills and quickly started to win. Soon, she and her new husband upped the ante and moved to Las Vegas, and the rest is history. Highlighting strategic tips and keen analysis that will appeal to both the skilled player and the reader newly intrigued, Annie Duke shares a unique view of a game that's fast evolved into a subculture.--From publisher description.

Phil Gordon's Little Green Book

Phil Gordon's Little Green Book PDF

Author: Phil Gordon

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

Published: 2023-07-25

Total Pages: 320

ISBN-13: 1982109262

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The ultimate guide to becoming an expert player of no limit hold’em poker from one of the game’s “premier players” (Erik Seidel, World Series of Poker winner) Phil Gordon. Poker is hotter than ever, with tens of millions of fans dealing in, logging on, and tuning in to global tournaments. And the most popular version of poker is no limit hold’em, long considered the purest form of the game, with appearances in the World Series of Poker, the World Poker Tour, and on Bravo’s Celebrity Poker Showdown. Now, Phil Gordon, acclaimed professional player and cohost of Celebrity Poker Showdown, shares his seasoned expertise and valuable insight in Phil Gordon’s Little Green Book. Featuring a conversational approach and easy-to-digest explanations and diagrams, this is the must-have guide for anyone who wants to go all-in on becoming a better no limit hold’em player.

Heads-Up Tournament Poker: Hand-By-Hand

Heads-Up Tournament Poker: Hand-By-Hand PDF

Author: Annie Duke, Vanessa Rousso & Josh Doody

Publisher: Cardoza Publishing

Published:

Total Pages: 251

ISBN-13: 1580425968

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You’ll learn how two of the best heads-up tournament players think through every decision in more than 600 hands as they battle their way to the final round in the prestigious NBC Heads-Up Championship. You’ll see their cards and hear their thoughts through twelve matches as they devise masterful strategies to defeat world-class opponents. Annie Duke and Vanessa Rousso give you a powerful mix of the practice, theory, and strategies for heads-up tournaments—where you must risk chips on every hand you’re dealt—and show you what they did to beat the best players in the world. You’ll see what works and what doesn’t as amazing bluffs and poorly executed tactics are deconstructed. You’ll learn how to design a game plan for each opponent, how to adjust your plan as the match progresses, how to play against pros and amateurs alike, and how to get the best of it against superior opponents. Their detailed analysis of when to change your strategy due to fluctuating chip counts, the flow of the match, and dynamic maneuvers make this book the bible of heads-up play.

Effortless

Effortless PDF

Author: Greg McKeown

Publisher: Currency

Published: 2021-04-27

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 0593135644

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • A Times (UK) Best Book of the Year • From the author of the million-copy-selling Essentialism comes an empowering guide to achieving your goals. It all starts with a simple principle: Not everything has to be so hard. “In a world beset by burnout, Greg McKeown’s work is essential.”—Daniel H. Pink, author of When, Drive, and To Sell Is Human “At a time when fear, uncertainty, and our ever-growing list of responsibilities have come to feel like much too much to handle, Effortless couldn’t be timelier, or more necessary.”—Eve Rodsky, author of Fair Play Do you ever feel like: • You’re teetering right on the edge of burnout? • You want to make a higher contribution, but lack the energy? • You’re running faster but not moving closer to your goals? • Everything is so much harder than it used to be? As high achievers, we’ve been conditioned to believe that the path to success is paved with relentless work. That if we want to overachieve, we have to overexert, overthink, and overdo. That if we aren’t perpetually exhausted, we’re not doing enough. But lately, working hard is more exhausting than ever. And the more depleted we get, the more effort it takes to make progress. Stuck in an endless loop of “Zoom, eat, sleep, repeat,” we’re often working twice as hard to achieve half as much. Getting ahead doesn’t have to be as hard as we make it. No matter what challenges or obstacles we face, there is a better way: instead of pushing ourselves harder, we can find an easier path. Effortless offers actionable advice for making the most essential activities the easiest ones, so you can achieve the results you want, without burning out. Effortless teaches you how to: • Turn tedious tasks into enjoyable rituals • Prevent frustration by solving problems before they arise • Set a sustainable pace instead of powering through • Make one-time choices that eliminate many future decisions • Simplify your processes by removing unnecessary steps • Make relationships easier to maintain and manage • And much more The effortless way isn't the lazy way. It's the smart way. It may even be the only way. Not every hard thing in life can be made easy. But we can make it easier to do more of what matters most.

Company of One

Company of One PDF

Author: Paul Jarvis

Publisher: Houghton Mifflin

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 273

ISBN-13: 1328972356

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What if the real key to a richer and more fulfilling career was not to create and scale a new start-up, but rather, to be able to work for yourself, determine your own hours, and become a (highly profitable) and sustainable company of one? Suppose the better--and smarter--solution is simply to remain small? This book explains how to do just that. Company of One is a refreshingly new approach centered on staying small and avoiding growth, for any size business. Not as a freelancer who only gets paid on a per piece basis, and not as an entrepreneurial start-up that wants to scale as soon as possible, but as a small business that is deliberately committed to staying that way. By staying small, one can have freedom to pursue more meaningful pleasures in life, and avoid the headaches that result from dealing with employees, long meetings, or worrying about expansion. Company of One introduces this unique business strategy and explains how to make it work for you, including how to generate cash flow on an ongoing basis. Paul Jarvis left the corporate world when he realized that working in a high-pressure, high profile world was not his idea of success. Instead, he now works for himself out of his home on a small, lush island off of Vancouver, and lives a much more rewarding and productive life. He no longer has to contend with an environment that constantly demands more productivity, more output, and more growth. In Company of One, Jarvis explains how you can find the right pathway to do the same, including planning how to set up your shop, determining your desired revenues, dealing with unexpected crises, keeping your key clients happy, and of course, doing all of this on your own.