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Uncertain Logics, Variables and Systems

Author: Z. Bubnicki

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2003-07-01

Total Pages: 140

ISBN-13: 3540457941

The ideas of uncertain variables based on uncertain logics have been introduced and developed for a wide class of uncertain systems. The purpose of this mo- graph is to present basic concepts, definitions and results concerning the uncertain variables and their applications to analysis and decision problems in uncertain systems described by traditional mathematical models and by knowledge rep- sentations. I hope that the book can be useful for graduate students, researchers and all readers working in the field of control and information science. Especially for those interested in the problems of uncertain decision support systems and unc- tain control systems. I wish to express my gratitude to my co-workers from the Institute of Control and Systems Engineering of Wroclaw University of Technology, who assisted in the preparation of the manuscript. My special thanks go to Dr L.Siwek for the valuable remarks and for his work concerning the formatting of the text.

Analysis and Decision Making in Uncertain Systems

Author: Zdzislaw Bubnicki

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-03-14

Total Pages: 377

ISBN-13: 1447137604

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A unified and systematic description of analysis and decision problems within a wide class of uncertain systems, described by traditional mathematical methods and by relational knowledge representations. Prof. Bubnicki takes a unique approach to stability and stabilization of uncertain systems.

Reasoning about Uncertainty, second edition

Author: Joseph Y. Halpern

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2017-04-07

Total Pages: 505

ISBN-13: 0262533804

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Formal ways of representing uncertainty and various logics for reasoning about it; updated with new material on weighted probability measures, complexity-theoretic considerations, and other topics. In order to deal with uncertainty intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it. In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it. While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty. Halpern surveys possible formal systems for representing uncertainty, including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures; considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; and discusses qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. This second edition has been updated to reflect Halpern's recent research. New material includes a consideration of weighted probability measures and how they can be used in decision making; analyses of the Doomsday argument and the Sleeping Beauty problem; modeling games with imperfect recall using the runs-and-systems approach; a discussion of complexity-theoretic considerations; the application of first-order conditional logic to security. Reasoning about Uncertainty is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics.

Subjective Logic

Author: Audun Jøsang

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-10-27

Total Pages: 337

ISBN-13: 3319423371

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This is the first comprehensive treatment of subjective logic and all its operations. The author developed the approach, and in this book he first explains subjective opinions, opinion representation, and decision-making under vagueness and uncertainty, and he then offers a full definition of subjective logic, harmonising the key notations and formalisms, concluding with chapters on trust networks and subjective Bayesian networks, which when combined form general subjective networks. The author shows how real-world situations can be realistically modelled with regard to how situations are perceived, with conclusions that more correctly reflect the ignorance and uncertainties that result from partially uncertain input arguments. The book will help researchers and practitioners to advance, improve and apply subjective logic to build powerful artificial reasoning models and tools for solving real-world problems. A good grounding in discrete mathematics is a prerequisite.

Neural Networks and Soft Computing

Author: Leszek Rutkowski

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2003-02-12

Total Pages: 940

ISBN-13: 9783790800050

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This volume presents new trends and developments in soft computing techniques. Topics include: neural networks, fuzzy systems, evolutionary computation, knowledge discovery, rough sets, and hybrid methods. It also covers various applications of soft computing techniques in economics, mechanics, medicine, automatics and image processing. The book contains contributions from internationally recognized scientists, such as Zadeh, Bubnicki, Pawlak, Amari, Batyrshin, Hirota, Koczy, Kosinski, Novák, S.-Y. Lee, Pedrycz, Raudys, Setiono, Sincak, Strumillo, Takagi, Usui, Wilamowski and Zurada. An excellent overview of soft computing methods and their applications.

Quantified Representation of Uncertainty and Imprecision

Author: Dov M. Gabbay

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 1998-10-31

Total Pages: 496

ISBN-13: 9780792351009

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We are happy to present the first volume of the Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems. Uncertainty pervades the real world and must therefore be addressed by every system that attempts to represent reality. The representation of uncertainty is a ma jor concern of philosophers, logicians, artificial intelligence researchers and com puter sciencists, psychologists, statisticians, economists and engineers. The present Handbook volumes provide frontline coverage of this area. This Handbook was produced in the style of previous handbook series like the Handbook of Philosoph ical Logic, the Handbook of Logic in Computer Science, the Handbook of Logic in Artificial Intelligence and Logic Programming, and can be seen as a companion to them in covering the wide applications of logic and reasoning. We hope it will answer the needs for adequate representations of uncertainty. This Handbook series grew out of the ESPRIT Basic Research Project DRUMS II, where the acronym is made out of the Handbook series title. This project was financially supported by the European Union and regroups 20 major European research teams working in the general domain of uncertainty. As a fringe benefit of the DRUMS project, the research community was able to create this Hand book series, relying on the DRUMS participants as the core of the authors for the Handbook together with external international experts.

Modern Control Theory

Author: Zdzislaw Bubnicki

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2005-11-10

Total Pages: 422

ISBN-13: 3540280871

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Well-written, practice-oriented textbook, and compact textbook Presents the contemporary state of the art of control theory and its applications Introduces traditional problems that are useful in the automatic control of technical processes, plus presents current issues of control Explains methods can be easily applied for the determination of the decision algorithms in computer control and management systems

Modeling Uncertainty with Fuzzy Logic

Author: Asli Celikyilmaz

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2009-04-01

Total Pages: 443

ISBN-13: 3540899243

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The world we live in is pervaded with uncertainty and imprecision. Is it likely to rain this afternoon? Should I take an umbrella with me? Will I be able to find parking near the campus? Should I go by bus? Such simple questions are a c- mon occurrence in our daily lives. Less simple examples: What is the probability that the price of oil will rise sharply in the near future? Should I buy Chevron stock? What are the chances that a bailout of GM, Ford and Chrysler will not s- ceed? What will be the consequences? Note that the examples in question involve both uncertainty and imprecision. In the real world, this is the norm rather than exception. There is a deep-seated tradition in science of employing probability theory, and only probability theory, to deal with uncertainty and imprecision. The mon- oly of probability theory came to an end when fuzzy logic made its debut. H- ever, this is by no means a widely accepted view. The belief persists, especially within the probability community, that probability theory is all that is needed to deal with uncertainty. To quote a prominent Bayesian, Professor Dennis Lindley, “The only satisfactory description of uncertainty is probability.

Uncertainty Theory

Author: Baoding Liu

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-11-03

Total Pages: 491

ISBN-13: 3662443546

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When no samples are available to estimate a probability distribution, we have to invite some domain experts to evaluate the belief degree that each event will happen. Perhaps some people think that the belief degree should be modeled by subjective probability or fuzzy set theory. However, it is usually inappropriate because both of them may lead to counterintuitive results in this case. In order to rationally deal with belief degrees, uncertainty theory was founded in 2007 and subsequently studied by many researchers. Nowadays, uncertainty theory has become a branch of axiomatic mathematics for modeling belief degrees. This is an introductory textbook on uncertainty theory, uncertain programming, uncertain statistics, uncertain risk analysis, uncertain reliability analysis, uncertain set, uncertain logic, uncertain inference, uncertain process, uncertain calculus, and uncertain differential equation. This textbook also shows applications of uncertainty theory to scheduling, logistics, networks, data mining, control, and finance.

Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems

Author: Dov M. Gabbay

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-04-17

Total Pages: 518

ISBN-13: 9401717370

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Reasoning under uncertainty is always based on a specified language or for malism, including its particular syntax and semantics, but also on its associated inference mechanism. In the present volume of the handbook the last aspect, the algorithmic aspects of uncertainty calculi are presented. Theory has suffi ciently advanced to unfold some generally applicable fundamental structures and methods. On the other hand, particular features of specific formalisms and ap proaches to uncertainty of course still influence strongly the computational meth ods to be used. Both general as well as specific methods are included in this volume. Broadly speaking, symbolic or logical approaches to uncertainty and nu merical approaches are often distinguished. Although this distinction is somewhat misleading, it is used as a means to structure the present volume. This is even to some degree reflected in the two first chapters, which treat fundamental, general methods of computation in systems designed to represent uncertainty. It has been noted early by Shenoy and Shafer, that computations in different domains have an underlying common structure. Essentially pieces of knowledge or information are to be combined together and then focused on some particular question or domain. This can be captured in an algebraic structure called valuation algebra which is described in the first chapter. Here the basic operations of combination and focus ing (marginalization) of knowledge and information is modeled abstractly subject to simple axioms.