Speculation And The Dollar

Speculation And The Dollar PDF

Author: Laurence Krause

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2019-07-11

Total Pages: 314

ISBN-13: 1000312895

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I began serious consideration of the issues and subject matter that comprise this book as a graduate student at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. In need of a dissertation topic and vaguely curious about international monetary economics, I decided to sit in on Leonard Rapping's undergraduate course on international finance. Needless to say, I was soon hooked. Within several months I was teaching my own course on international money and beginning to write an outline of what would become my doctoral dissertation on foreign exchange speculation. Once completed the dissertation thesis became this basis for this book.

Currency Trading in the Forex and Futures Markets

Currency Trading in the Forex and Futures Markets PDF

Author: Carley Garner

Publisher: FT Press

Published: 2012-01-04

Total Pages: 241

ISBN-13: 0132779668

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Currency trading offers immense potential to stock and futures investors seeking new speculative opportunities. However, there are several ways to trade in currencies, and many unsuspecting traders have been burned by aggressive marketing campaigns and gimmicks luring them into unfavorable trading environments. In this book, best-selling trading author Carley Garner covers everything new currency traders need to know to avoid those pitfalls and start earning big profits. Currency Trading in the Forex and Futures Markets begins by demystifying all the essentials, from quotes and calculations to the unique language of Forex trading. Readers learn all they need to know about choosing trading platforms and brokerage firms; working with leverage; controlling transaction costs; managing liquidity, margins, and risks; and much more. Garner thoroughly explains the currency spot market (Forex); currency futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME); and currency ETFs. She candidly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of each, cutting through the "smoke and mirrors" often associated with currency trading. Readers will also find a full section on currency market speculation, including a clear introduction to fundamental and seasonal analysis in currency markets. With her guidance, new currency traders can identify the markets and approaches that best fit their objectives, and avoid the pitfalls that have often victimized their predecessors.

Do Currency Fundamentals Matter for Currency Speculators?

Do Currency Fundamentals Matter for Currency Speculators? PDF

Author: Mr.Masahiro Nozaki

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-02-01

Total Pages: 35

ISBN-13: 145196286X

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The answer seems affirmative. We compare currency carry trades with an investment strategy based on currency fundamentals: taking a long (short) position in undervalued (overvalued) currencies. Carry trades have high risk-adjusted returns, but are subject to "crash risk." In contrast, the fundamental strategy has lower risk-adjusted returns, but is less prone to crash risk, because the realization of crash risk coincides with corrections towards fundamentals. In particular, the fundamental strategy outperformed carry trades during the recent global financial crisis. Building on these results, we present early warning indicators for potential turbulence in the currency market.

Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes

Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes PDF

Author: Anja Zenker

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2014-01-08

Total Pages: 142

ISBN-13: 3658048298

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Speculative currency crises seem to have become a common and inevitable phenomenon in the international monetary system. Against this background, various approaches have been developed by economists to cover the broad range of situations in which balance-of-payments crises occurred. Anja Zenker provides a comprehensive insight into the body of theoretical and empirical literature about currency speculation in fixed exchange rate regimes. The author discusses different generations of theoretical models and their empirical relevance in recent currency crises. Moreover, she considers diverse policy options which attempt to avoid speculative attacks on exchange rate pegs.

Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar

Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar PDF

Author: Kenneth S. Chan

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1996-08-01

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 1451950470

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The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has a long-standing policy of controlling bank lending in Singapore dollars to nonresidents and to residents who use the funds outside Singapore. While the control may prevent the internationalization of the Singapore dollar and contain exchange rate volatility, it can hinder the deepening and widening of the financial markets in Singapore. This paper suggests three policy options that would allow traders and investors to borrow Singapore dollars without any restrictions, while making it costly for speculators since their activities can cause exchange rate volatility which arguably imposes external costs to society.

The Little Book of Currency Trading

The Little Book of Currency Trading PDF

Author: Kathy Lien

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2010-12-01

Total Pages: 229

ISBN-13: 1118018419

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An accessible guide to trading the fast-moving foreign exchange market The foreign exchange market, or forex, was once dominated by global banks, hedge funds, and multinational corporations, but that has all changed with Internet technology and the advent of online forex brokers. Now, hundreds of thousands of traders and investors around the world can participate in this profitable field. Written by forex expert Kathy Lien, The Little Book of Currency Trading will show you how to effectively invest and trade in today's biggest market. Page by page, she describes the multitude of opportunities possible in the forex market, from short-term price swings to long-term trends, and details practical products that can help you achieve success, such as currency-based ETFs. Explains the forces that drive currencies and provides strategies to profit from them Reveals how you can use various currencies to reduce risk and take advantage of global trends Examines financial vehicles that can help you make money without having to monitor the market every day The Little Book of Currency Trading opens the world of currency trading and investing to anyone interested in entering this dynamic arena.

The Returns to Currency Speculation

The Returns to Currency Speculation PDF

Author: Craig Burnside

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 76

ISBN-13:

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Currencies that are at a forward premium tend to depreciate. This 'forward-premium puzzle' represents an egregious deviation from uncovered interest parity. We document the properties of returns to currency speculation strategies that exploit this anomaly. We show that these strategies yield high Sharpe ratios which are not a compensation for risk. In practice bid-ask spreads are an increasing function of order size. In addition, there is price pressure, i.e. exchange rates are an increasing function of net order flow. Together these frictions greatly reduce the profitability of currency speculation strategies. In fact, the marginal Sharpe ratio associated with currency speculation can be zero even though the average Sharpe ratio is positive.

The Foreign Exchange Matrix

The Foreign Exchange Matrix PDF

Author: Barbara Rockefeller

Publisher: Harriman House Limited

Published: 2013-02-11

Total Pages: 333

ISBN-13: 0857192701

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The foreign exchange market is huge, fascinating and yet widely misunderstood by participants and non-participants alike. This is because its unanswered questions are numerous. For instance, what is the purpose of the $4 trillion per day trading volume? What determines currency trends and who are the players in the FX arena? Does FX drive other financial markets, or is it the passive end-product of all the other markets? FX is without clear supply and demand factors, so how do traders determine sentiment and price direction? Much is written in an effort to answer these questions, but a lot of it is just noise. In the 12 pieces here, Barbara Rockefeller and Vicki Schmelzer draw on their combined 50 years' experience in foreign exchange to cut through the clutter and provide an elegant and razor-sharp look at this market. Their analysis is accurate, useful and enlivened by many anecdotes and examples from historic market events. They cover: - How the matrix concept can help observers understand foreign exchange market action - What professional FX traders take into consideration before entering into positions - Whether the FX market can be forecast - The interplay between foreign exchange and other financial markets - How technology has levelled the playing field between big and small players, and at what cost - Whether the prospect of reserve currency diversification away from the dollar is likely - The toolkit that central banks use to manage national economies and the effect of this on currencies 'The Foreign Exchange Matrix' is the go-to book for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of the world of foreign exchange.

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