-PDF Download- The Model Thinker EBOOK

The Model Thinker

Author: Scott E. Page

Publisher: Basic Books

Published: 2018-11-27

Total Pages: 585

ISBN-13: 0465094635

Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja. From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models—from linear regression to random walks and far beyond—that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.

The Model Thinker

Author: Scott E. Page

Publisher:

Published: 2021-03-16

Total Pages: 480

ISBN-13: 9781541675711

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

How anyone can become a data whiz From the stock market to COVID-19 charts, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who's ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical and statistical models-from linear regression to random walks and beyond-that can turn anyone into a data genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows us how to organize data with multiple models, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. Whether you're a scientist, pollster, blogger, or business person, The Model Thinker offers a toolkit for becoming a better, clearer thinker, able to leverage data and information to your advantage.

The Model Thinker

Author: Scott E. Page

Publisher: Hachette UK

Published: 2018-11-27

Total Pages: 585

ISBN-13: 0465094635

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Mental Models

Author: Peter Hollins

Publisher: PublishDrive

Published: 2019-06-27

Total Pages: 137

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

30 Practical and applicable guidelines to think smarter, faster, and with expert insight (even if you aren’t one). Mental models are like giving a treasure map to someone lost in the woods. They provide instant understanding, context, and most importantly, a path to the end destination. Now imagine having such a map for all problems and decisions in your life. Battle information overwhelm, focus on what really matters, and make complex decisions with speed and confidence. Mental Models: 30 Thinking Tools sheds light on true intelligence: it’s not about knowledge and knowing the capitals of all the countries in the world. It’s about how you think, and each mental model is a specific framework on how to think smart and with insight. You can approach the world by trying to analyze each piece of information separately, or you can learn mental models that do the work for you. Learn how billionaires/CEOs, Olympic athletes, and scientists think differently and avoid mistakes. Peter Hollins has studied psychology and peak human performance for over a dozen years and is a bestselling author. He has worked with a multitude of individuals to unlock their potential and path towards success. His writing draws on his academic, coaching, and research experience.

Thinking in Systems

Author: Donella Meadows

Publisher: Chelsea Green Publishing

Published: 2008-12-03

Total Pages: 242

ISBN-13: 1603581480

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

The classic book on systems thinking—with more than half a million copies sold worldwide! "This is a fabulous book... This book opened my mind and reshaped the way I think about investing."—Forbes "Thinking in Systems is required reading for anyone hoping to run a successful company, community, or country. Learning how to think in systems is now part of change-agent literacy. And this is the best book of its kind."—Hunter Lovins In the years following her role as the lead author of the international bestseller, Limits to Growth—the first book to show the consequences of unchecked growth on a finite planet—Donella Meadows remained a pioneer of environmental and social analysis until her untimely death in 2001. Thinking in Systems is a concise and crucial book offering insight for problem solving on scales ranging from the personal to the global. Edited by the Sustainability Institute’s Diana Wright, this essential primer brings systems thinking out of the realm of computers and equations and into the tangible world, showing readers how to develop the systems-thinking skills that thought leaders across the globe consider critical for 21st-century life. Some of the biggest problems facing the world—war, hunger, poverty, and environmental degradation—are essentially system failures. They cannot be solved by fixing one piece in isolation from the others, because even seemingly minor details have enormous power to undermine the best efforts of too-narrow thinking. While readers will learn the conceptual tools and methods of systems thinking, the heart of the book is grander than methodology. Donella Meadows was known as much for nurturing positive outcomes as she was for delving into the science behind global dilemmas. She reminds readers to pay attention to what is important, not just what is quantifiable, to stay humble, and to stay a learner. In a world growing ever more complicated, crowded, and interdependent, Thinking in Systems helps readers avoid confusion and helplessness, the first step toward finding proactive and effective solutions.

The Great Mental Models, Volume 1

Author: Shane Parrish

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2024-10-15

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 0593719972

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.

Now You're Thinking

Author: Judy Chartrand

Publisher: FT Press

Published: 2011-09-14

Total Pages: 154

ISBN-13: 0132932172

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Learn more with the video links included in this e-book! Want to improve? Want to change? Start inside your own head: You are what you think! Now You’re Thinking will help you build your great life by teaching you breakthrough techniques for thinking far more effectively. Whether you’re considering refinancing your house or trying to become a better parent, some thinking processes are simply proven to work better. Learn them here--right now. Discover how to assess your own thinking style, build on your strengths, fix your weaknesses, navigate tough challenges and moral dilemmas; gain new perspective; think your way to balance and security, and master strategic thinking, in business, and in life! To celebrate the launch of Now You’re Thinking, Pearson people, business partners, and friends have a tremendous opportunity to make a remarkable difference in the lives of the families of those serving the U.S. military. From September 12 through September 30, each time you read a free online children’s book at We Give Books (wegivebooks.org), your efforts will help give a free hardcover or paperback book to great non-profits that support U.S. military families year round. Think. Read. Give.

The Systems Thinker - Mental Models

Author: Albert Rutherford

Publisher: Vdz

Published: 2020-02-11

Total Pages: 262

ISBN-13: 9781951385781

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Regain focus. Select relevant information. Make quick and clear decisions. We are dealing with too many options, too much information, conflicting advice on general choices like what diet to choose, or who to choose as a mate. It's hard to maintain focus and be confident in our decisions under such conditions. The Systems Thinker -Mental Models helps you make decisions based on your relevant thought patterns and true values. Finding the most relevant information to YOU, the best decision to YOU is a matter of exploring YOUR thoughts and wants. Mental models are cognitive frameworks that you can use to make order in your head, tune out the noise, and focus on what's important - without getting overwhelmed. Mental models provide transparency, order, deeper understanding, context, and most importantly, a clear solution or conclusion about problems. Using systems thinking as your leading cognitive tool will provide depth AND width to your mental analysis. Learn how corporate executives, economists, and policy makers analyze big data and make decisions based on it. -Discover 12 powerful thinking tools to facilitate your though processes -Understanding and model dynamic systems -Learn to use mental models through real-life examples Mental models are so much more than a cognitive tool; they help with productivity, enhance understanding, boost critical thinking, and analytical skills. -Understand how corporations make multidimensional decisions -Learn to design your own mental models to map out your real priorities -Learn to include soft variables such as emotions into your analysis -Shift your mindset from blaming to accountability and resolve conflicts easier.

Creating Great Choices

Author: Jennifer Riel

Publisher: Harvard Business Press

Published: 2017-08-29

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 1633692973

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Move Beyond Trade-Off Thinking When it comes to our hardest choices, it can seem as though making trade-offs is inevitable. But what about those crucial times when accepting the obvious trade-off just isn't good enough? What do we do when the choices in front of us don't get us what we need? In those cases, rather than choosing the least worst option, we can use the models in front of us to create a new and superior answer. This is integrative thinking. First introduced by world-renowned strategic thinker Roger Martin in The Opposable Mind, integrative thinking is an approach to problem solving that uses opposing ideas as the basis for innovation. Now, in Creating Great Choices, Martin and his longtime thinking partner Jennifer Riel vividly illustrate how integrative thinking works, and how to do it. The book includes fresh stories of successful integrative thinkers that will demystify the process of creative problem solving, as well as practical tools and exercises to help readers engage with the ideas. And it lays out the authors' four-step methodology for creating great choices, which can be applied in virtually any context. The result is a replicable, thoughtful approach to finding a "third and better way" to make important choices in the face of unacceptable trade‐offs. Insightful and instructive, Creating Great Choices blends storytelling, theory, and hands-on advice to help any leader or manager facing a tough choice.

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Author: Daniel Kahneman

Publisher: Farrar, Straus and Giroux

Published: 2011-10-25

Total Pages: 511

ISBN-13: 1429969350

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Major New York Times bestseller Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award in 2012 Selected by the New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011 A Globe and Mail Best Books of the Year 2011 Title One of The Economist's 2011 Books of the Year One of The Wall Street Journal's Best Nonfiction Books of the Year 2011 2013 Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award and the Los Angeles Times Book Prize and selected by The New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow is destined to be a classic.