The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States

The Dynamic Effects of Local Labor Market Shocks on Small Firms in The United States PDF

Author: Mr. Philip Barrett

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2024-03-22

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

We use payroll data on over 1 million workers at 80,000 small firms to construct county-month measures of employment, hours, and wages that correct for dynamic changes in sample composition in response to business cycle fluctuations. We use this to estimate the response of small firms' employment, hours and wages following tighter local labor market conditions. We find that employment and hours per worker fall and wages rise. This is consistent with the predictions of the response to a demand shock in the well-known “jobs ladder” model of labor markets. To check this interpretation, we show our results hold when instrumenting for local demand using county-level Department of Defense contract spending. Correction for dynamic sample bias is important -- without it, the hours fall by only one third as much and wages increase by double.

Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States

Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States PDF

Author: Mai Dao

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-11-25

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13: 1498302718

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

We examine patterns of regional adjustments to shocks in the US during the past four decades. We find that the response of interstate migration to relative labor market conditions has decreased, while the role of the unemployment rate as absorber of regional shocks has increased. However, the response of net migration to regional shocks is stronger during aggregate downturns and increased particularly during the Great Recession. We offer a potential explanation for the cyclical pattern of migration response based on the variation in consumption risk sharing.

Looking Into the Black Box

Looking Into the Black Box PDF

Author: Barbara Petrongolo

Publisher:

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 64

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Discusses the process that matches unemployed workers to available job vacancies. Explores the microfoundations, empirical evidence, and estimation issues underlying the aggregate matching function.

Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States and Europe

Regional Labor Market Adjustments in the United States and Europe PDF

Author: Mai Dao

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-02-11

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13: 1475598599

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

We examine patterns of regional adjustments to shocks in the US during the past 40 years. Using state-level data, we estimate the dynamic response of regional employment, unemployment, participation rates and net migration to state-relative labor demand shocks. We find that (i) the long-run effect of a state-specific shock on the state employment level has decreased over time, suggesting less overall net migration in response to a regional shock, (ii) the role of the participation rate as absorber of regional shocks has increased, (iii) the response of net migration to regional shocks is stronger, while that of relative unemployment is weaker during aggregate downturns, and (iv) the change in the response intensity of migration is related to the declining trend in regional dispersion of labor market conditions. Finally, using regional data for a set of 21 European countries, we show that while the short-term response of participation rates to labor demand shocks is typically larger in Europe than in the US, the immediate response of net migration in Europe has increased over time.

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration PDF

Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2017-07-13

Total Pages: 643

ISBN-13: 0309444454

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration finds that the long-term impact of immigration on the wages and employment of native-born workers overall is very small, and that any negative impacts are most likely to be found for prior immigrants or native-born high school dropouts. First-generation immigrants are more costly to governments than are the native-born, but the second generation are among the strongest fiscal and economic contributors in the U.S. This report concludes that immigration has an overall positive impact on long-run economic growth in the U.S. More than 40 million people living in the United States were born in other countries, and almost an equal number have at least one foreign-born parent. Together, the first generation (foreign-born) and second generation (children of the foreign-born) comprise almost one in four Americans. It comes as little surprise, then, that many U.S. residents view immigration as a major policy issue facing the nation. Not only does immigration affect the environment in which everyone lives, learns, and works, but it also interacts with nearly every policy area of concern, from jobs and the economy, education, and health care, to federal, state, and local government budgets. The changing patterns of immigration and the evolving consequences for American society, institutions, and the economy continue to fuel public policy debate that plays out at the national, state, and local levels. The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration assesses the impact of dynamic immigration processes on economic and fiscal outcomes for the United States, a major destination of world population movements. This report will be a fundamental resource for policy makers and law makers at the federal, state, and local levels but extends to the general public, nongovernmental organizations, the business community, educational institutions, and the research community.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles PDF

Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2020-05-29

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13: 1513536990

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Handbook of the Economics of Corporate Finance

Handbook of the Economics of Corporate Finance PDF

Author:

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2023-08-15

Total Pages: 472

ISBN-13: 0128240067

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Private Equity and Entrepreneurial Finance, volume 1 of the new series, Handbook of the Economics of Corporate Finance, provides comprehensive and accessible updates of central theoretical and empirical issues in corporate finance. The demand for these updates reflects the rapid evolution of corporate finance research, which has become a dominant field in financial economics. The surveys are written by leading empirical researchers that remain active in their respective areas of interest. The dense roadmaps are intended to make the economics of corporate finance and governance accessible not only to doctoral students but also researchers not intimately familiar with this important field. Provides the authority and expertise of leading contributors from an international board of authors Presents the latest release in the Handbook of the Economics of Corporate Finance series Updated release includes the latest information on Private Equity and Entrepreneurial Finance

Exports to Jobs

Exports to Jobs PDF

Author: Erhan Artuc

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2019-02-25

Total Pages: 215

ISBN-13: 1464812497

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

South Asia has grown rapidly with significant reductions in poverty, but it has not been able to match the fast-growing working age population, leading to lingering concerns about jobless growth and poor job quality. Could export growth in South Asia result in better labor market outcomes? The answer is yes, according to our study, which rigorously estimates—using a new methodology—the potential impact from higher South Asian exports per worker on wages and employment over a 10-year period. Our study shows the positive side of trade. It finds that increasing exports per worker would result in higher wages—mainly for better-off groups, like more educated workers, males, and more-experienced workers—although less-skilled workers would see the largest reduction in informality. How can the benefits be spread more widely? Our study suggests that scaling up exports in labor-intensive industries could significantly lower informality for groups like rural and less-educated workers in the region. Also, increasing skills, and participation of women and young workers in the labor force could make an even bigger dent in informal employment. The region could achieve these gains by: (i) boosting and connecting exports to people (e.g., removing trade barriers and investment in infrastructure); (ii) eliminating distortions in production (e.g., by more efficient allocation of inputs); and (iii) protecting workers (e.g., by investing in education and skills).