Tanzania’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation

Tanzania’s agrifood system structure and drivers of transformation PDF

Author: Benfica, Rui

Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst

Published: 2023-07-17

Total Pages: 14

ISBN-13:

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Tanzania experienced strong annual economic growth of 6.2 percent between 2009 and 2019 (NBS 2020). Despite the country’s relatively less restrictive domestic COVID-19 measures, the adverse effects of the global commodity market disruptions during the pandemic led to a slowdown in GDP growth to 4.8 percent in 2020 and 4.9 percent in 2021 (NBS 2021). Growth is expected to reach 5.3 percent in 2023 and 6.1 percent in 2024 (World Bank 2023), suggesting that Tanzania is returning to its pre-pandemic growth trajectory. While the economy has been going through a process of structural transformation with rapid growth, agriculture continues to play an important role in both output and employment, accounting for about 30 percent of total GDP and 70 percent of employment in 2019. The agriculture sector performed well over the pre-pandemic decade, with agricultural growth accelerating from 3.8 percent per year in the 2009–2014 period to 5 percent in the 2014–2019 period (NBS 2020). The agriculture sector has also been playing an important role in weathering the global commodity market shocks in 2022 and 2023, thanks to some export crops that benefit from the negative terms of trade shock (Diao and Thurlow 2023). In this brief, we unpack the historical and projected economic growth trajectory further to better understand the role of agriculture as well as the broader agrifood system (AFS) in the performance and transformation of the economy of Tanzania.

Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania

Assessing investment priorities for driving inclusive agricultural transformation in Tanzania PDF

Author: Aragie, Emerta

Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst

Published: 2023-04-28

Total Pages: 44

ISBN-13:

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This study utilizes a recursive dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated with data for Tanzania to explore the link between agricultural and rural development spending and four development outcomes: economic growth, job creation, poverty reduction, and diet quality. Results show that no single expenditure option is the most effective in achieving all four desired development outcomes for Tanzania. Productivity-enhancing agricultural interventions in horticulture are effective at generating growth in the agri-food system (AFS) and improving diets, but have a limited effect on employment. Supporting cereal producers has large effects on growth and poverty reduction, with relatively high returns per dollar invested, but its effect on diet quality is weak. Providing livestock services to milk and poultry farmers consistently ranks high across the outcome indicators, with strong employment effects on downstream AFS. Crop research and development and feeder roads generate moderate impacts on all four outcomes. Partially reallocating the budget towards the most cost-effective spending options can substantially increase the development effectiveness for Tanzania of agriculture sector support expenditures. The approach adopted in this study can help policymakers design and prioritize agricultural interventions and expenditure portfolios that better reflect the country’s broad food system.

Prospects for the sectoral transformation of the rural economy in Tanzania: A review of the evidence

Prospects for the sectoral transformation of the rural economy in Tanzania: A review of the evidence PDF

Author: Benson, Todd

Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst

Published: 2018-01-10

Total Pages: 32

ISBN-13:

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To guide economy-wide modeling efforts to identify specific public investments under Tanzania’s second Agricultural Sector Development Programme (ASDP II), this report provides an analysis of the performance of the rural economy of mainland Tanzania over the period 2008 through 2015, with a focus on the agriculture sector. More broadly, we seek to assess the nature and extent of any structural transformation in the rural economy by understanding trends in various components of it. The insights gained will then be used in the economy-wide modeling work to propose portfolios of public investments to foster both agricultural development in the short term—in alignment with the ASDP-II—and, in the longer-term, a sectoral transformation of the rural economy in which far fewer households rely solely on agriculture for their livelihoods.

Identifying priority value chains in Tanzania

Identifying priority value chains in Tanzania PDF

Author: Thurlow, James

Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst

Published: 2018-08-23

Total Pages: 20

ISBN-13:

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Value chain development is increasingly perceived as an important approach for agricultural development in developing countries. This paper uses a Rural Investment and Policy Analysis (RIAPA) model for the mainland Tanzania economy to identify the agricultural activities and value-chains whose expansion will be most effective at fostering economic development along four dimensions: generating economic growth in the agricultural-food sector of Tanzania; reducing national and rural poverty; generating employment; and improving nutrition by diversifying diets. The results of scenarios run through the model suggests that there is no single value-chain that can achieve all of the policy objectives. Instead, a more balanced portfolio of value-chains would not only enhance agriculture’s future contribution to poverty reduction and economic growth, but also promote faster rural transformation and dietary diversification, both of which are needed to create job opportunities and improve nutrition outcomes over the longer-term. The analysis suggests that vegetables, coffee, milk, cotton, nuts, and oilseeds should be considered as “priority” value-chains, because these are the most effective at achieving multiple policy objectives. Other value-chains that meet several of the development objectives considered include maize, fishing, wheat and barley, rice, cattle, and poultry and eggs.

Three Essays on the Evolving Agrifood System in Tanzania

Three Essays on the Evolving Agrifood System in Tanzania PDF

Author: Christine Marie Sauer

Publisher:

Published: 2021

Total Pages: 191

ISBN-13:

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Broadly, my dissertation focuses on changes in the midstream and downstream of the agrifood value chain in Tanzania. The first essay examines the patterns and determinants of household-level consumption expenditure on processed food and meals away from home. I use a detailed food consumption diary from Tanzania to explore the relationship between the budget share spent on more convenient foods, such as highly processed food and food away from home, and income levels. Additionally, I use (i) geo-spatial data to analyze how these relationships change over space, and (ii) detailed labor data to analyze the correlation between men's and women's non-farm labor force participation and the budget share spent on higher value-added foods.In my second essay, I revisit the old debate of whether the poor pay more for food, using the same spatial and food diary data as in the first essay. I find that, surprisingly, the poor generally are not more likely to buy in smaller quantities, the rich are not more likely to buy non-perishables in larger quantities, and that bulk discounts are modest at best for most food products we study. Most intriguingly, we find that the poor do not pay more than richer households.Finally, my third essay uses primary data from maize flour retailers to explore the modernization of the maize flour value chain in Tanzania. I use various measures of value chain structure, conduct, and performance, and I disaggregate by retail type (traditional shops, transitional mini-supermarkets, and modern supermarkets) and town size, to study where changes are occurring. I find a rapid proliferation of maize flour brands, a move toward disintermediation (especially in the secondary cities) and longer supply chains, and an emerging adoption of mobile money by traditional shops in smaller towns. These findings point toward a supply chain in flux.

Transforming Agriculture in Southern Africa

Transforming Agriculture in Southern Africa PDF

Author: Richard A. Sikora

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2019-11-27

Total Pages: 296

ISBN-13: 0429686633

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This book provides a synthesis of the key issues and challenges facing agriculture and food production in Southern Africa. Southern Africa is facing numerous challenges from diverse issues such as agricultural transformations, growing populations, urbanization and climate change. These challenges place great pressure on food security, agriculture, water availability and other natural resources, as well as impacting biodiversity. Drawing on case studies from Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe, the chapters in this book consider these challenges from an interdisciplinary perspective, covering key areas in constraints to production, the most important building blocks of good farming practices, and established and emerging technologies. This book will be a valuable support for informing new policies and processes aimed at improving food production and security and developing sustainable agriculture in Southern Africa. This informative volume will be key reading for those interested in agricultural science, African studies, rural studies, development studies and sustainability. It will also be a valuable resource for policymakers, governmental and nongovernmental organizations, and agricultural practitioners. This title has been made available as Open Access under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives (CCBY-NC-ND) license and can be accessed here: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/e/9780429401701

Transforming Food Systems for a Rising India

Transforming Food Systems for a Rising India PDF

Author: Prabhu Pingali

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2019-05-14

Total Pages: 382

ISBN-13: 3030144097

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This open access book examines the interactions between India’s economic development, agricultural production, and nutrition through the lens of a “Food Systems Approach (FSA).” The Indian growth story is a paradoxical one. Despite economic progress over the past two decades, regional inequality, food insecurity and malnutrition problems persist. Simultaneously, recent trends in obesity along with micro-nutrient deficiency portend to a future public health crisis. This book explores various challenges and opportunities to achieve a nutrition-secure future through diversified production systems, improved health and hygiene environment and greater individual capability to access a balanced diet contributing to an increase in overall productivity. The authors bring together the latest data and scientific evidence from the country to map out the current state of food systems and nutrition outcomes. They place India within the context of other developing country experiences and highlight India’s status as an outlier in terms of the persistence of high levels of stunting while following global trends in obesity. This book discusses the policy and institutional interventions needed for promoting a nutrition-sensitive food system and the multi-sectoral strategies needed for simultaneously addressing the triple burden of malnutrition in India.