Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling

Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling PDF

Author: Vladik Kreinovich

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-11-24

Total Pages: 776

ISBN-13: 3030042634

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This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.

Econometrics of Structural Change

Econometrics of Structural Change PDF

Author: Walter Krämer

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 134

ISBN-13: 3642484123

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Econometric models are made up of assumptions which never exactly match reality. Among the most contested ones is the requirement that the coefficients of an econometric model remain stable over time. Recent years have therefore seen numerous attempts to test for it or to model possible structural change when it can no longer be ignored. This collection of papers from Empirical Economics mirrors part of this development. The point of departure of most studies in this volume is the standard linear regression model Yt = x;fJt + U (t = I, ... , 1), t where notation is obvious and where the index t emphasises the fact that structural change is mostly discussed and encountered in a time series context. It is much less of a problem for cross section data, although many tests apply there as well. The null hypothesis of most tests for structural change is that fJt = fJo for all t, i.e. that the same regression applies to all time periods in the sample and that the disturbances u are well behaved. The well known Chow test for instance assumes t that there is a single structural shift at a known point in time, i.e. that fJt = fJo (t

Economic Structural Change

Economic Structural Change PDF

Author: Peter Hackl

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-06-29

Total Pages: 377

ISBN-13: 3662068249

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Structural change is a fundamental concept in economic model building. Statistics and econometrics provide the tools for identification of change, for estimating the onset of a change, for assessing its extent and relevance. Statistics and econometrics also have de veloped models that are suitable for picturing the data-generating process in the presence of structural change by assimilating the changes or due to the robustness to its presence. Important subjects in this context are forecasting methods. The need for such methods became obvious when, as a consequence of the oil price shock, the results of empirical analyses suddenly seemed to be much less reliable than before. Nowadays, economists agree that models with fixed structure that picture reality over longer periods are illusions. An example for less dramatic causes than the oil price shock with similarly profound effects is economic growth and its impacts on the economic system. Indeed, economic growth was a motivating concept for this volume. In 1983, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxen burg/ Austria initiated an ambitious project on "Economic Growth and Structural Change".

Statistical Analysis and Forecasting of Economic Structural Change

Statistical Analysis and Forecasting of Economic Structural Change PDF

Author: Peter Hackl

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-03-09

Total Pages: 495

ISBN-13: 366202571X

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In 1984, the University of Bonn (FRG) and the International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg (Austria), created a joint research group to analyze the relationship between economic growth and structural change. The research team was to examine the commodity composition as well as the size and direction of commodity and credit flows among countries and regions. Krelle (1988) reports on the results of this "Bonn-IIASA" research project. At the same time, an informal IIASA Working Group was initiated to deal with prob lems of the statistical analysis of economic data in the context of structural change: What tools do we have to identify nonconstancy of model parameters? What type of models are particularly applicable to nonconstant structure? How is forecasting affected by the presence of nonconstant structure? What problems should be anticipated in applying these tools and models? Some 50 experts, mainly statisticians or econometricians from about 15 countries, came together in Lodz, Poland (May 1985); Berlin, GDR (June 1986); and Sulejov, Poland (September 1986) to present and discuss their findings. This volume contains a selected set of those conference contributions as well as several specially invited chapters.

Economic Structural Change

Economic Structural Change PDF

Author: Peter Hackl

Publisher: Springer

Published: 1991-05-02

Total Pages: 385

ISBN-13: 9783540538394

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Structural change is a fundamental concept in economic model building. Statistics and econometrics provide the tools for identification of change, for estimating the onset of a change, for assessing its extent and relevance. Statistics and econometrics also have de veloped models that are suitable for picturing the data-generating process in the presence of structural change by assimilating the changes or due to the robustness to its presence. Important subjects in this context are forecasting methods. The need for such methods became obvious when, as a consequence of the oil price shock, the results of empirical analyses suddenly seemed to be much less reliable than before. Nowadays, economists agree that models with fixed structure that picture reality over longer periods are illusions. An example for less dramatic causes than the oil price shock with similarly profound effects is economic growth and its impacts on the economic system. Indeed, economic growth was a motivating concept for this volume. In 1983, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxen burg/ Austria initiated an ambitious project on "Economic Growth and Structural Change".

The Econometrics of Structural Change, with Special Emphasis on Spline Functions

The Econometrics of Structural Change, with Special Emphasis on Spline Functions PDF

Author: Dale J. Poirier

Publisher: North-Holland

Published: 1976

Total Pages: 224

ISBN-13:

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An introduction to models of structural change; Linear splines; Cubic splines; Bilineart splines; Cobb-Douglas splines; Splines lags: why the almon lag has gone to pieces; A survey of estimation techniques for models with unknown points of structural change; The use of splines in multiple regression; Spline loss functions.

Structural Econometric Models

Structural Econometric Models PDF

Author: Eugene Choo

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

Published: 2013-12-18

Total Pages: 350

ISBN-13: 1783500530

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This volume focuses on recent developments in the use of structural econometric models in empirical economics. The first part looks at recent developments in the estimation of dynamic discrete choice models. The second part looks at recent advances in the area empirical matching models.

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis

Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis PDF

Author: Steven Durlauf

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-04-30

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 0230280838

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Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.

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