Stock Prices and Monetary Policy

Stock Prices and Monetary Policy PDF

Author: Paul De Grauwe

Publisher: CEPS

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 22

ISBN-13: 929079819X

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The question of whether central banks should target stock prices so as to prevent bubbles and crashes from occurring has been hotly debated. This paper analyses this question using a behavioural macroeconomic model. This model generates bubbles and crashes. It analyses how 'leaning against the wind' strategies, which aim to reduce the volatility of stock prices, can help in reducing volatility of output and inflation. We find that such policies can be effective in reducing macroeconomic volatility, thereby improving the trade-off between output and inflation variability. The strength of this result, however, depends on the degree of credibility of the inflation-targeting regime. In the absence of such credibility, policies aiming at stabilising stock prices do not stabilise output and inflation.

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market

Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market PDF

Author: Hilde C. Bjørnland

Publisher:

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution is proposed to the simultaneity problem of identifying monetary and stock price shocks by using a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established literature (CEE 1999). We find great interdependence between interest rate setting and stock prices. Stock prices immediately fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute a major part of the surge in stock prices at the end of the 1990s to these non-fundamental shocks.

U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices

U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices PDF

Author: Mr.Luc Laeven

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-12-01

Total Pages: 30

ISBN-13: 1455210854

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This paper studies how U.S. monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in U.S. interest rate policy, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries that are more integrated with the global financial market. These findings suggest that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy, and that U.S. monetary policy influences global capital allocation.

Learning, Monetary Policy and Asset Prices

Learning, Monetary Policy and Asset Prices PDF

Author: Mr.Marco Airaudo

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-01-23

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 1498343465

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We explore the stability properties of interest rate rules granting an explicit response to stock prices in a New-Keynesian DSGE model populated by Blanchard-Yaari non-Ricardian households. The constant turnover between long-time stock holders and asset-poor newcomers generates a financial wealth channel where the wedge between current and expected future aggregate consumption is affected by the market value of financial wealth, making stock prices non-redundant for the business cycle. We find that if the financial wealth channel is sufficiently strong, responding to stock prices enlarges the policy space for which the rational expectations equilibrium is both determinate and learnable (in the E-stability sense of Evans and Honkapohja, 2001). In particular, the Taylor principle ceases to be necessary and also mildly passive policy responses to inflation lead to determinacy and E-stability. Our results appear to be more prominent in economies characterized by a lower elasticity of substitution across differentiated products and/or more rigid labor markets.

The Stock Market Channel of Monetary Policy

The Stock Market Channel of Monetary Policy PDF

Author: Mr.Ralph Chami

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1999-02-01

Total Pages: 26

ISBN-13: 145184395X

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This paper argues that the stock market is an important channel of monetary policy. Monetary policy affects real economic activity because inflation levies a property tax on stocks in addition to an income tax on dividend payments. Inflation thus taxes stocks more heavily than it does bonds. Households alter their required rate of return as inflation changes, and firms adjust production in order to satisfy their shareholders’ demands. As the stock market channel grows in importance, the appropriate intermediate target for the central bank is the price level, with price stability being the ultimate goal.

Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy

Asset Prices and Central Bank Policy PDF

Author: Stephen Giovanni Cecchetti

Publisher: Centre for Economic Policy Research

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 164

ISBN-13: 9781898128533

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Concludes the role of asset prices in monetary policy is one of the most important, and difficult, questions confronting central banks.

Asset Prices and Monetary Policy

Asset Prices and Monetary Policy PDF

Author: John Y. Campbell

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2008-11-15

Total Pages: 444

ISBN-13: 0226092127

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Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.

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