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Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher:
Published: 1989
Total Pages: 40
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This study describes some of the lessons learned from developing political-level and Theater-Commander-level decision models for Use in the Rand Strategy assessment system (rsas). Thèse knowledge-based models (called Red agents) can represent alternative mindsets and alternative Military strategies.
Author: Herbert J. Shukiar
Publisher:
Published: 1984
Total Pages: 32
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →The Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is a highly ambitious, multiyear research program to develop a system and methodology that combine the systematic reproducibility of analytic modeling/simulation with the behavioral richness of rule-based artificial intelligence technology. The system combines an adaptive simulation model of precombat and combat operations with three rule-based artificial intelligence agents that represent Red, Blue, and third-country behavior. The adaptive simulation model, called the Force Agent, simulates ground, air, and naval warfare in both conventional and nuclear settings on a theaterwide or global basis. The two superpower agents, Red Agent and Blue Agent, utilize wakeup rules to examine the world situation. Third-country behavior is represented by another rule-based agent--Scenario Agent. This paper examines the relationships among the four agents from the system interface, database management, and system control perspectives. The paper also discusses how the RSAC system can be used to support both automated and interactive war games.
Author: Joseph E. Nation
Publisher: Springer
Published: 1991-06-18
Total Pages: 274
ISBN-13: 1349127345
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →The de-escalation of a nuclear crisis is one of the major issues facing humankind. This book examines how nations in crises might successfully move back from the brink of nuclear war and how confidence-building measures might help and hinder the de-escalatory process.
Author: Randall Steeb
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 1983
Total Pages: 72
ISBN-13: 9780833005052
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This report describes Rand's proposed approach for building an advanced 'Red Agent' computer model to describe Soviet behavior in the context of an automated war game. The advanced (Mark III) Red Agent described in this report will use and extend state-of-the-art (artificial) intelligence techniques to produce an extremely flexible model able to reflect the best-estimate and contrary-view concepts on likely Soviet political-military behavior in major superpower conflicts. (Author).
Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher:
Published: 1988
Total Pages: 140
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This Note documents and updates a briefing given in January 1988 on the system-software aspects of the RAND Strategy Assessment System.
Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2014-05-20
Total Pages: 78
ISBN-13: 0833052837
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Deterring terrorism is best approached as part of a broad effort to influence all elements of a terrorist system, and simple, conceptual models of decisionmaking can help in understanding how to affect others' behavior. The paper lays out a theory of how to use influence to affect elements of a terrorist system, touching on root causes, individual motivation, public support, and likely factors in the decisionmaking of terrorist organizations.
Author: Rand Corporation
Publisher:
Published: 1986
Total Pages: 168
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Green Agent, formerly called Scenario Agent, is the Rand Strategy Assessment System's (RSAS's) rule-based computer model of third-country political-military behavior in conflicts involving one or both superpowers. This Note describes the third-generation version, and supersedes all previous Scenario Agent documentation. The Note provides information needed to set up and run the Green Agent in RSAS war games. It should be of interest both to political-military analysts and to modelers.
Author:
Publisher:
Published: 1986
Total Pages: 155
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Green Agent is one of several computer models used in the Rand Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) to support automated war gaming. The RSAS, including Green Agent, will be transferred to the government to use in gaming a broad range of superpower conflict scenarios. To judge the credibility of gaming results, one needs to understand the models, including Green Agent. The depth of understanding necessary will vary from person to person. For some people, a general overview of the RSAS will be sufficient; a brief overview is incorporated in this Introduction. This Note is a technical description of the Green Agent model Section II outlines the range of political-military behavior the Green Agent is intended to simulate. Section III addresses the architecture of the model and should be of interest to RSAS users and computer modelers wishing to enrich or otherwise change Green Agent rules. The Green Agent architecture is fixed for the near future, but individual rules are inserted or improved continually. Appendix A provides the rules as they existed in July 1986. Discrepancies exist between the model as documented and the code in Appendix A, since all elements of the current RSAS are not capable of supporting some aspects of Green Agent design. Appendix B is a selected bibliography of RSAC publications.
