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SAS for Forecasting Time Series, Third Edition

Author: John C. Brocklebank, Ph.D.

Publisher: SAS Institute

Published: 2018-03-14

Total Pages: 384

ISBN-13: 1629605441

To use statistical methods and SAS applications to forecast the future values of data taken over time, you need only follow this thoroughly updated classic on the subject. With this third edition of SAS for Forecasting Time Series, intermediate-to-advanced SAS users—such as statisticians, economists, and data scientists—can now match the most sophisticated forecasting methods to the most current SAS applications. Starting with fundamentals, this new edition presents methods for modeling both univariate and multivariate data taken over time. From the well-known ARIMA models to unobserved components, methods that span the range from simple to complex are discussed and illustrated. Many of the newer methods are variations on the basic ARIMA structures. Completely updated, this new edition includes fresh, interesting business situations and data sets, and new sections on these up-to-date statistical methods: ARIMA models Vector autoregressive models Exponential smoothing models Unobserved component and state-space models Seasonal adjustment Spectral analysis Focusing on application, this guide teaches a wide range of forecasting techniques by example. The examples provide the statistical underpinnings necessary to put the methods into practice. The following up-to-date SAS applications are covered in this edition: The ARIMA procedure The AUTOREG procedure The VARMAX procedure The ESM procedure The UCM and SSM procedures The X13 procedure The SPECTRA procedure SAS Forecast Studio Each SAS application is presented with explanation of its strengths, weaknesses, and best uses. Even users of automated forecasting systems will benefit from this knowledge of what is done and why. Moreover, the accompanying examples can serve as templates that you easily adjust to fit your specific forecasting needs. This book is part of the SAS Press program.

SAS® for Forecasting Time Series, Third Edition

Author: John C. Brocklebank

Publisher:

Published: 2018-03

Total Pages: 384

ISBN-13: 9781635269000

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To use statistical methods and SAS applications to forecast the future values of data taken over time, you need only follow this thoroughly updated classic on the subject. With this third edition of SAS for Forecasting Time Series, intermediate-to-advanced SAS users-such as statisticians, economists, and data scientists-can now match the most sophisticated forecasting methods to the most current SAS applications. Starting with fundamentals, this new edition presents methods for modeling both univariate and multivariate data taken over time. From the well-known ARIMA models to unobserved components, methods that span the range from simple to complex are discussed and illustrated. Many of the newer methods are variations on the basic ARIMA structures. Completely updated, this new edition includes fresh, interesting business situations and data sets, and new sections on these up-to-date statistical methods: ARIMA models Vector autoregressive models Exponential smoothing models Unobserved component and state-space models Seasonal adjustment Spectral analysis Focusing on application, this guide teaches a wide range of forecasting techniques by example. The examples provide the statistical underpinnings necessary to put the methods into practice. The following up-to-date SAS applications are covered in this edition: The ARIMA procedure The AUTOREG procedure The VARMAX procedure The ESM procedure The UCM and SSM procedures The X13 procedure The SPECTRA procedure SAS Forecast Studio Each SAS application is presented with explanation of its strengths, weaknesses, and best uses. Even users of automated forecasting systems will benefit from this knowledge of what is done and why. Moreover, the accompanying examples can serve as templates that you easily adjust to fit your specific forecasting needs. This book is part of the SAS Press program.

SAS for Forecasting Time Series

Author: John C. Brocklebank

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2003-07-14

Total Pages: 424

ISBN-13: 9780471395669

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Easy-to-read and comprehensive, this book shows how the SAS System performs multivariate time series analysis and features the advanced SAS procedures STATSPACE, ARIMA, and SPECTRA. The interrelationship of SAS/ETS procedures is demonstrated with an accompanying discussion of how the choice of a procedure depends on the data to be analysed and the reults desired. Other topics covered include detecting sinusoidal components in time series models and performing bivariate corr-spectral analysis and comparing the results with the standard transfer function methodology. The authors? unique approach to integrating students in a variety of disciplines and industries. Emphasis is on correct interpretation of output to draw meaningful conclusions. The volume, co-pubished by SAS and JWS, features both theory and practicality, and accompanies a soon-to-be extensive library of SAS hands-on manuals in a multitude of statistical areas. The book can be used with a number of hardware-specific computing machines including CMS, Mac, MVS, Opem VMS Alpha, Opmen VMS VAX, OS/390, OS/2, UNIX, and Windows.

Practical Time Series Analysis Using SAS

Author: Anders Milhoj

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781612901701

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Anders Milhøj's Practical Time Series Analysis Using SAS explains and demonstrates through examples how you can use SAS for time series analysis. It offers modern procedures for forecasting, seasonal adjustments, and decomposition of time series that can be used without involved statistical reasoning. The book teaches, with numerous examples, how to apply these procedures with very simple coding. In addition, it also gives the statistical background for interested readers. Beginning with an introductory chapter that covers the practical handling of time series data in SAS using the TIMESERIES and EXPAND procedures, it goes on to explain forecasting, which is found in the ESM procedure; seasonal adjustment, including trading-day correction using PROC X12; and unobserved component models using the UCM procedure. This book is part of the SAS Press program.

Time Series Analysis Using SAS Enterprise Guide

Author: Timina Liu

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-02-19

Total Pages: 137

ISBN-13: 9811503214

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This is the first book to present time series analysis using the SAS Enterprise Guide software. It includes some starting background and theory to various time series analysis techniques, and demonstrates the data analysis process and the final results via step-by-step extensive illustrations of the SAS Enterprise Guide software. This book is a practical guide to time series analyses in SAS Enterprise Guide, and is valuable resource that benefits a wide variety of sectors.

An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Author: Robert A. Yaffee

Publisher: Academic Press

Published: 2000-04-27

Total Pages: 556

ISBN-13: 0127678700

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A time series is a set of repeated measurements of the same phenomenon taken sequentially over time. Capturing the data creates a time series "memory" to document correlations or lack, and to help them make decisions based on this data.

Forecasting Examples for Business and Economics Using the SAS System

Author: SAS Institute

Publisher: Sas Inst

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 404

ISBN-13: 9781555447632

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Numerous step-by-step examples show you--the economist, business forecaster, student, or researcher--how to use SAS to generate forecasts for a variety of business and economic data. Examples are based on both time series models and econometric models. You'll learn how to use SAS to forecast time series data using Box-Jenkins ARIMA methodology; develop and forecast transfer functions and intervention models; fit and forecast regression models with autocorrelated, heteroskedastic, and ARCH-GARCH error terms; estimate nonlinear regression models; create forecast confidence limits using Monte Carlo simulation; and more! The main focus of the book is on the code-based procedures in SAS/ETS software, but this book also provides an introduction to the interactive Time Series Forecasting System, and it shows how to plot data and forecasts with SAS/GRAPH software.

SAS for Finance

Author: Harish Gulati

Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd

Published: 2018-05-30

Total Pages: 299

ISBN-13: 1788622480

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Leverage the analytical power of SAS to perform financial analysis efficiently Key Features Leverage the power of SAS to analyze financial data with ease Find hidden patterns in your data, predict future trends, and optimize risk management Learn why leading banks and financial institutions rely on SAS for financial analysis Book Description SAS is a groundbreaking tool for advanced predictive and statistical analytics used by top banks and financial corporations to establish insights from their financial data. SAS for Finance offers you the opportunity to leverage the power of SAS analytics in redefining your data. Packed with real-world examples from leading financial institutions, the author discusses statistical models using time series data to resolve business issues. This book shows you how to exploit the capabilities of this high-powered package to create clean, accurate financial models. You can easily assess the pros and cons of models to suit your unique business needs. By the end of this book, you will be able to leverage the true power of SAS to design and develop accurate analytical models to gain deeper insights into your financial data. What you will learn Understand time series data and its relevance in the financial industry Build a time series forecasting model in SAS using advanced modeling theories Develop models in SAS and infer using regression and Markov chains Forecast inflation by building an econometric model in SAS for your financial planning Manage customer loyalty by creating a survival model in SAS using various groupings Understand similarity analysis and clustering in SAS using time series data Who this book is for Financial data analysts and data scientists who want to use SAS to process and analyze financial data and find hidden patterns and trends from it will find this book useful. Prior exposure to SAS will be helpful but is not mandatory. Some basic understanding of the financial concepts is required.

Applied Data Mining for Forecasting Using SAS

Author: Tim Rey

Publisher: SAS Institute

Published: 2012-07-02

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 1612900933

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Applied Data Mining for Forecasting Using SAS, by Tim Rey, Arthur Kordon, and Chip Wells, introduces and describes approaches for mining large time series data sets. Written for forecasting practitioners, engineers, statisticians, and economists, the book details how to select useful candidate input variables for time series regression models in environments when the number of candidates is large, and identifies the correlation structure between selected candidate inputs and the forecast variable. This book is essential for forecasting practitioners who need to understand the practical issues involved in applied forecasting in a business setting. Through numerous real-world examples, the authors demonstrate how to effectively use SAS software to meet their industrial forecasting needs. This book is part of the SAS Press program.

An Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Author: Robert Alan Yaffee

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2000-05-12

Total Pages: 555

ISBN-13: 0080478700

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Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques. Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology Math level pitched to general social science usage Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels