Probability Models in Operations Research

Probability Models in Operations Research PDF

Author: C. Richard Cassady

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2008-08-05

Total Pages: 224

ISBN-13: 1420054902

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Industrial engineering has expanded from its origins in manufacturing to transportation, health care, logistics, services, and more. A common denominator among all these industries, and one of the biggest challenges facing decision-makers, is the unpredictability of systems. Probability Models in Operations Research provides a comprehensive

Probabilistic Models in Operations Research

Probabilistic Models in Operations Research PDF

Author: Silviu Guiasu

Publisher:

Published: 2009

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781606922330

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Operations Research, often abbreviated as OR, is a relatively new branch of Applied Mathematics. Its aim is to optimise mathematical models of reality involving probabilistic uncertainty and its results are applied to real life problems. The aim of this book is to cover, in a condensed but rigorous way, the main chapter of the OR probablisitc models based on optimisation. The topics are taken from Game Theory, Decision Theory, Simulation, Reliability, and Queueing Theory. Game Theory deals with how to find the best winning strategies in a confrontation between two players with opposite interest and how to evaluate the value of different possible coalitions in a game involving more than two players. In Decision Theory the main objective is to find the optimum actions of the decision maker for minimising his loss when he has limited information available and faces uncertainty about the future possible events. Simulation is a powerful instrument for obtaining representative examples, of any length, from probability distributions of interest and for approximating multiple definite integrals and the solutions of linear and non-linear equations and programs. In the chapter dealing with Reliability, the main problem is how to evaluate the probability that a system functions properly, or is still alive, during an arbitrary time interval. Finally, Queuing Theory deals with how to assess what may happen in a complex system where the customers arrive randomly, wait in line, and later are served. A main concept is the waiting time in the queuing system, waiting to be served and being served. In each chapter, some representative examples and the mathematical formalism are discussed first, eventually followed by the comments on ramifications, generalisations and applications of the basic results. Computer tips and programs are inserted in each chapter. The text is based on lectures delivered for more than twenty-five years in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at York University in Toronto. The book is rather a monograph an the probablistic modes in Operations Research which could also be used as a text book in a more advanced OR course. The book is self-contained, compact, and accessible to mathematicians, economists, system analysts, decision makers, and people dealing with computer assisted modelling. It contains also new original topics and proofs not covered in the standard OR textbooks. The chapters are kept to be as independent as possible.

Introduction to Probability Models

Introduction to Probability Models PDF

Author: Wayne L. Winston

Publisher: Brooks/Cole Publishing Company

Published: 2003-06-01

Total Pages: 752

ISBN-13: 9780534423599

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This text, the second volume of Wayne Winston's successful OPERATIONS RESEARCH: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, FOURTH EDITION, covers topics in Probability Models and addresses the substantial contribution of Probability Modeling in the last five years to the fields of financial engineering, computational simulation and manufacturing. The specific attention to probability models with the addition of recent practical breakthroughs makes this the first text to introduce these ideas together at an accessible level.

Stochastic Models in Operations Research

Stochastic Models in Operations Research PDF

Author: Daniel P. Heyman

Publisher: Courier Corporation

Published: 2004-01-01

Total Pages: 564

ISBN-13: 9780486432595

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This volume of a 2-volume set explores the central facts and ideas of stochastic processes, illustrating their use in models based on applied and theoretical investigations. Explores stochastic processes, operating characteristics of stochastic systems, and stochastic optimization. Comprehensive in its scope, this graduate-level text emphasizes the practical importance, intellectual stimulation, and mathematical elegance of stochastic models.

Introduction to Probability Models

Introduction to Probability Models PDF

Author: Sheldon M. Ross

Publisher: Academic Press

Published: 2006-12-11

Total Pages: 801

ISBN-13: 0123756871

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Introduction to Probability Models, Tenth Edition, provides an introduction to elementary probability theory and stochastic processes. There are two approaches to the study of probability theory. One is heuristic and nonrigorous, and attempts to develop in students an intuitive feel for the subject that enables him or her to think probabilistically. The other approach attempts a rigorous development of probability by using the tools of measure theory. The first approach is employed in this text. The book begins by introducing basic concepts of probability theory, such as the random variable, conditional probability, and conditional expectation. This is followed by discussions of stochastic processes, including Markov chains and Poison processes. The remaining chapters cover queuing, reliability theory, Brownian motion, and simulation. Many examples are worked out throughout the text, along with exercises to be solved by students. This book will be particularly useful to those interested in learning how probability theory can be applied to the study of phenomena in fields such as engineering, computer science, management science, the physical and social sciences, and operations research. Ideally, this text would be used in a one-year course in probability models, or a one-semester course in introductory probability theory or a course in elementary stochastic processes. New to this Edition: 65% new chapter material including coverage of finite capacity queues, insurance risk models and Markov chains Contains compulsory material for new Exam 3 of the Society of Actuaries containing several sections in the new exams Updated data, and a list of commonly used notations and equations, a robust ancillary package, including a ISM, SSM, and test bank Includes SPSS PASW Modeler and SAS JMP software packages which are widely used in the field Hallmark features: Superior writing style Excellent exercises and examples covering the wide breadth of coverage of probability topics Real-world applications in engineering, science, business and economics

Analyzing Risk through Probabilistic Modeling in Operations Research

Analyzing Risk through Probabilistic Modeling in Operations Research PDF

Author: Jakóbczak, Dariusz Jacek

Publisher: IGI Global

Published: 2015-11-03

Total Pages: 466

ISBN-13: 1466694599

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Probabilistic modeling represents a subject spanning many branches of mathematics, economics, and computer science to connect pure mathematics with applied sciences. Operational research also relies on this connection to enable the improvement of business functions and decision making. Analyzing Risk through Probabilistic Modeling in Operations Research is an authoritative reference publication discussing the various challenges in management and decision science. Featuring exhaustive coverage on a range of topics within operational research including, but not limited to, decision analysis, data mining, process modeling, probabilistic interpolation and extrapolation, and optimization methods, this book is an essential reference source for decision makers, academicians, researchers, advanced-level students, technology developers, and government officials interested in the implementation of probabilistic modeling in various business applications.

Introduction to Probability Models

Introduction to Probability Models PDF

Author: Sheldon M. Ross

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 801

ISBN-13: 0123736358

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Rosss classic bestseller has been used extensively by professionals and as the primary text for a first undergraduate course in applied probability. With the addition of several new sections relating to actuaries, this text is highly recommended by the Society of Actuaries.