Philosophy and Probability

Philosophy and Probability PDF

Author: Timothy Childers

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2013-05-30

Total Pages: 213

ISBN-13: 0199661820

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Probability is increasingly important for our understanding of the world. What is probability? How do we model it, and how do we use it? Timothy Childers presents a lively introduction to the foundations of probability and to philosophical issues it raises. He keeps technicalities to a minimum, and assumes no prior knowledge of the subject. He explains the main interpretations of probability-frequentist, propensity, classical, Bayesian, and objective Bayesian-and uses stimulating examples to bring the subject to life. All students of philosophy will benefit from an understanding of probability, and this is the book to provide it.

The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy

The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy PDF

Author: Alan Hájek

Publisher: Oxford Handbooks

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780199607617

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Probability theory is a key tool of the physical, mathematical, and social sciences. It has also been playing an increasingly significant role in philosophy: in epistemology, philosophy of science, ethics, social philosophy, philosophy of religion, and elsewhere. A case can be made thatprobability is as vital a part of the philosopher's toolkit as logic. Moreover, there is a fruitful two-way street between probability theory and philosophy: the theory informs much of the work of philosophers, and philosophical inquiry, in turn, has shed considerable light on the theory. ThisHandbook encapsulates and furthers the influence of philosophy on probability, and of probability on philosophy. Nearly forty articles summarise the state of play and present new insights in various areas of research at the intersection of these two fields. The articles will be of special interestto practitioners of probability who seek a greater understanding of its mathematical and conceptual foundations, and to philosophers who want to get up to speed on the cutting edge of research in this area. There is plenty here to entice philosophical readers who don't work especially on probabilitybut who want to learn more about it and its applications. Indeed, this volume should appeal to the intellectually curious generally; after all, there is much here to be curious about. We do not expect all of this volume's audience to have a thorough training in probability theory. And whileprobability is relevant to the work of many philosophers, they often do not have much of a background in its formalism. With this in mind, we begin with 'Probability for Everyone--Even Philosophers', a primer on those parts of probability theory that we believe are most important for philosophers toknow. The rest of the volume is divided into seven main sections: History; Formalism; Alternatives to Standard Probability Theory; Interpretations and Interpretive Issues; Probabilistic Judgment and Its Applications; Applications of Probability: Science; and Applications of Probability:Philosophy.

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Philosophical Theories of Probability PDF

Author: Donald Gillies

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2012-09-10

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 1134672454

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The Twentieth Century has seen a dramatic rise in the use of probability and statistics in almost all fields of research. This has stimulated many new philosophical ideas on probability. Philosophical Theories of Probability is the first book to present a clear, comprehensive and systematic account of these various theories and to explain how they relate to one another. Gillies also offers a distinctive version of the propensity theory of probability, and the intersubjective interpretation, which develops the subjective theory.

Probability

Probability PDF

Author: D. H. Mellor

Publisher: Psychology Press

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 9780415282505

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This work presents the basic concepts of probability to philosophy students who are new to this area of the subject.

Probability in the Philosophy of Religion

Probability in the Philosophy of Religion PDF

Author: Jake Chandler

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2012-04-26

Total Pages: 262

ISBN-13: 0199604762

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These specially written essays show that philosophy of religion is fertile ground for the application of probabilistic thinking. The authors examine central topics in the field: the status of evidence relating to the question of the existence of God; the rationality of religious belief; and the epistemic significance of religious disagreement.

Probability

Probability PDF

Author: Darrell P. Rowbottom

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2015-10-30

Total Pages: 135

ISBN-13: 1509500200

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When a doctor tells you theres a one percent chance that an operation will result in your death, or a scientist claims that his theory is probably true, what exactly does that mean? Understanding probability is clearly very important, if we are to make good theoretical and practical choices. In this engaging and highly accessible introduction to the philosophy of probability, Darrell Rowbottom takes the reader on a journey through all the major interpretations of probability, with reference to real-world situations. In lucid prose, he explores the many fallacies of probabilistic reasoning, such as the gamblers fallacy and the inverse fallacy, and shows how we can avoid falling into these traps by using the interpretations presented. He also illustrates the relevance of the interpretation of probability across disciplinary boundaries, by examining which interpretations of probability are appropriate in diverse areas such as quantum mechanics, game theory, and genetics. Using entertaining dialogues to draw out the key issues at stake, this unique book will appeal to students and scholars across philosophy, the social sciences, and the natural sciences.

Creating Modern Probability

Creating Modern Probability PDF

Author: Jan von Plato

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1998-01-12

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 9780521597357

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In this book the author charts the history and development of modern probability theory.

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling PDF

Author: Mauricio Suárez

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-01-21

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 1108983847

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This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance'.

Philosophical Lectures on Probability

Philosophical Lectures on Probability PDF

Author: Bruno de Finetti

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2008-05-20

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 1402082010

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Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of “exchangeability” revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.