Philosophical Lectures on Probability

Philosophical Lectures on Probability PDF

Author: Bruno de Finetti

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2008-05-20

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 1402082010

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Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of “exchangeability” revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.

Bridging the Gap: Philosophy, Mathematics, and Physics

Bridging the Gap: Philosophy, Mathematics, and Physics PDF

Author: G. Corsi

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 330

ISBN-13: 9401124965

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Foundational questions in logic, mathematics, computer science and physics are constant sources of epistemological debate in contemporary philosophy. To what extent is the transfinite part of mathematics completely trustworthy? Why is there a general `malaise' concerning the logical approach to the foundations of mathematics? What is the role of symmetry in physics? Is it possible to build a coherent worldview compatible with a macroobjectivistic position and based on the quantum picture of the world? What account can be given of opinion change in the light of new evidence? These are some of the questions discussed in this volume, which collects 14 lectures on the foundation of science given at the School of Philosophy of Science, Trieste, October 1989. The volume will be of particular interest to any student or scholar engaged in interdisciplinary research into the foundations of science in the context of contemporary debates.

Probability and Evidence

Probability and Evidence PDF

Author: Alfred Jules Ayer

Publisher: [London] : Macmillan

Published: 1972-01-01

Total Pages: 144

ISBN-13: 9780333127568

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In this new edition of Probability and Evidence, first published in 1972, one of the foremost analytical philosophers of the twentieth century addresses central questions in epistemology and the philosophy of science. Based on Ayer's influential Dewey Lectures of 1970, Probability and Evidence contains revised versions of the lectures and two additional essays. This new edition includes Graham Macdonald's extensive introduction explaining the book's importance and influence in contemporary philosophy.

Philosophical Devices

Philosophical Devices PDF

Author: David Papineau

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2012-10-04

Total Pages: 224

ISBN-13: 0191656259

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This book is designed to explain the technical ideas that are taken for granted in much contemporary philosophical writing. Notions like 'denumerability', 'modal scope distinction', 'Bayesian conditionalization', and 'logical completeness' are usually only elucidated deep within difficult specialist texts. By offering simple explanations that by-pass much irrelevant and boring detail, Philosophical Devices is able to cover a wealth of material that is normally only available to specialists. The book contains four sections, each of three chapters. The first section is about sets and numbers, starting with the membership relation and ending with the generalized continuum hypothesis. The second is about analyticity, a prioricity, and necessity. The third is about probability, outlining the difference between objective and subjective probability and exploring aspects of conditionalization and correlation. The fourth deals with metalogic, focusing on the contrast between syntax and semantics, and finishing with a sketch of Gödel's theorem. Philosophical Devices will be useful for university students who have got past the foothills of philosophy and are starting to read more widely, but it does not assume any prior expertise. All the issues discussed are intrinsically interesting, and often downright fascinating. It can be read with pleasure and profit by anybody who is curious about the technical infrastructure of contemporary philosophy.

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling PDF

Author: Mauricio Suárez

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-01-21

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 1108983847

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This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance'.

Probability and Evidence

Probability and Evidence PDF

Author: Alfred Jules Ayer

Publisher: Columbia University Press

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 9780231132756

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In this new edition of Probability and Evidence, first published in 1972, one of the foremost analytical philosophers of the twentieth century addresses central questions in epistemology and the philosophy of science. Based on Ayer's influential Dewey Lectures of 1970, Probability and Evidence contains revised versions of the lectures and two additional essays. This new edition includes Graham Macdonald's extensive introduction explaining the book's importance and influence in contemporary philosophy.

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Philosophical Theories of Probability PDF

Author: Donald Gillies

Publisher: Psychology Press

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 0415182751

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The use of probability and statistics has increased dramatically in all fields of research. This book presents an account of the resultant philosophical theories of probability and explains how they relate to one another.

Lectures on Inductive Logic

Lectures on Inductive Logic PDF

Author: Jon Williamson

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2017

Total Pages: 217

ISBN-13: 0199666474

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Inductive logic is a theory of how one should reason in the face of uncertainty. It has applications to decision making and artificial intelligence, as well as to scientific problems.