Uncertain Outcomes
Author: Clifford Richard Bell
Publisher: Springer
Published: 1979
Total Pages: 220
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Author: Clifford Richard Bell
Publisher: Springer
Published: 1979
Total Pages: 220
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Author: Ronald Munson
Publisher: Cengage Learning
Published: 2003
Total Pages: 468
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This casebook presents both classic and current cases in bioethics, as well as the biomedical and social framework needed to understand the moral and social issues they raise. The text draws its cases from the author's market leading text, INTERVENTION AND REFLECTION, 6th Edition, and provides up-to-date introductions and a strong theoretical foundation for the critical study of bioethics.
Author: Katya Drozdova
Publisher: SAGE Publications
Published: 2015-12-30
Total Pages: 125
ISBN-13: 148339249X
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Quantifying the Qualitative presents a systematic approach to comparative case analysis based on insights from information theory. This new method, which requires minimal quantitative skills, helps students, policymakers, professionals, and scholars learn more from comparative cases. The approach avoids the limitations of traditional statistics in the small-n context and allows analysts to systematically assess and compare the impact of a set of factors on case outcomes with easy-to-use analytics. Rigorous tools reduce bias, improve the knowledge gained from case studies, and provide straightforward metrics for effectively communicating results to a range of readers and leaders.
Author: Stefan Riedener
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Published: 2021-10-25
Total Pages: 157
ISBN-13: 3110736225
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →How ought you to evaluate your options if you're uncertain about what's fundamentally valuable? A prominent response is Expected Value Maximisation (EVM)—the view that under axiological uncertainty, an option is better than another if and only if it has the greater expected value across axiologies. But the expected value of an option depends on quantitative probability and value facts, and in particular on value comparisons across axiologies. We need to explain what it is for such facts to hold. Also, EVM is by no means self-evident. We need an argument to defend that it’s true. This book introduces an axiomatic approach to answer these worries. It provides an explication of what EVM means by use of representation theorems: intertheoretic comparisons can be understood in terms of facts about which options are better than which, and mutatis mutandis for intratheoretic comparisons and axiological probabilities. And it provides a systematic argument to the effect that EVM is true: the theory can be vindicated through simple axioms. The result is a formally cogent and philosophically compelling extension of standard decision theory, and original take on the problem of axiological or normative uncertainty.
Author: Mary E. Ames
Publisher:
Published: 1982-07-01
Total Pages: 230
ISBN-13: 9780380595358
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Author: Robert M. Arkin
Publisher: Psychology Press
Published: 2013-05-13
Total Pages: 497
ISBN-13: 1136950575
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This Handbook explores the cognitive, motivational, interpersonal, clinical, and applied aspects of personal uncertainty. It showcases both the diversity and the unity that defines contemporary perspectives on uncertainty in self within social and personality psychology. The contributions to the volume are all written by distinguished scholars in personality, social psychology, and clinical psychology united by their common focus on the causes and consequences of self-uncertainty. Chapters explore the similarities and differences between personal uncertainty and other psychological experiences in terms of their nature and relationship with human thought, emotion, motivation, and behavior. Specific challenges posed by personal uncertainty and the coping strategies people develop in their daily life are identified. There is an assessment of the potential negative and positive repercussions of coping with the specific experience of self-uncertainty, including academic, health, and relationship outcomes. Throughout, strategies specifically designed to assist others in confronting the unique challenges posed by self-uncertainty in ways that emphasize healthy psychological functioning and growth are promoted. In addition, the contributions to the Handbook touch on the psychological, social, and cultural context of the new millennium, including concepts such as Friedman’s "flat world," confidence, the absence of doubt in world leaders, the threat of terrorism since 9/11, the arts, doubt and religious belief, and views of doubt as the universal condition of humankind. The Handbook is an invaluable resource for researchers, practitioners, and senior undergraduate and graduate students in social and personality psychology, clinical and counseling psychology, educational psychology, and developmental psychology.
Author: Bertrand Munier
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2012-12-06
Total Pages: 694
ISBN-13: 940094019X
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Decision Theory has considerably developed in the late 1970's and the 1980's. The evolution has been so fast and far-r2aching that it has become increasingly difficult to keep track of the new state of the art. After a decade of new contributions, there was a need for an overview' of the field. This book is intended to fill the gap. The reader will find here thirty~nine selected papers which were given at FUR-III, the third international confe rence on the Foundations and applications of Utility, Risk and decision theories, held in Aix-en-Provence in June 1986. An introductory chapter will provide an overview of the main questions raised on the subject since the 17th Century and more particularly so in the last thirty years, as well as some elementary information on the experimental and theoretical results obtained. It is thus hoped that any reader with some basic background in either Economics, Hanagement or Operations Research will be able to read profitably the thirty-nine other chapters. Psychologists, Sociologists, Social Philosophers and other specialists of the social sciences will also read this book with interest, as will high-level practitioners of decision~making and advanced students in one of the abovementioned fields. An expository survey of this volume will be found at the end of the introductory chapter, so that any of the seven parts of the book can be put by the reader in due perspective.
Author: Myles Lavan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 2022-12-01
Total Pages: 323
ISBN-13: 1009302035
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Historians constantly wrestle with uncertainty, never more so than when attempting quantification, yet the field has given little attention to the nature of uncertainty and strategies for managing it. This volume proposes a powerful new approach to uncertainty in ancient history, drawing on techniques widely used in the social and natural sciences. It shows how probability-based techniques used to manage uncertainty about the future or the present can be applied to uncertainty about the past. A substantial introduction explains the use of probability to represent uncertainty. The chapters that follow showcase how the technique can offer leverage on a wide range of problems in ancient history, from the incidence of expropriation in the Classical Greek world to the money supply of the Roman empire.
Author: George A. Krause
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Published: 2009-12-14
Total Pages: 368
ISBN-13: 9780472024049
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This groundbreaking work provides a new and more accurate guide to the interactions of bureaucracies with other political institutions and the public at large."--Jacket.
Author: Robert Jay Marty
Publisher:
Published: 1964
Total Pages: 28
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →S2Presented here is a method of analysis that makes use of multiple estimates of project profitability stemming from different assumptions about the true values of uncertain factors like yields and prices. The purpose of the analysis is to screen competing projects to eliminate those that can be proved to be unprofitable, or surely less profitable than some other, regardless of the assumptions made about the values of uncertain factors.S3.