Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS

Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS PDF

Author: Guillaume Marois

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2021

Total Pages: 116

ISBN-13: 3030791114

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This open access book provides a step-by-step overview on how to build a microsimulation model with SAS. It shows how to convert an already existing multistate projection by age, sex, education and region into a microsimulation model. Two new dimensions are then added, either the labor force participation and the sector of activity, and/or some examples of outputs and alternative scenarios that would not be possible with standard demographic methods. The book also describes how to adapt the model for other countries or other purposes. It also provides details on how to extend and adapt the model for other purposes as well as other use of microsimulation with SAS. The book suggests codes that are easy to understand, so they can be replicated or adapted for other purposes. As such, this book provides a great resource for people with beginner to intermediate knowledge in SAS.

Microsimulation Based SAS Population Forecasts

Microsimulation Based SAS Population Forecasts PDF

Author: Guillaume Marois

Publisher: Independent Author

Published: 2023-07-03

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781805304999

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Most population projections forecast the population using only demographic characteristics (age and sex), but the inclusion of additional dimension such as education (Lutz et al. 2014) and sociocultural variables (Bélanger et al. 2019) is an emerging approach in the social sciences (Spielauer 2010). Indeed, in addition to providing a richer set of outputs, including additional dimensions provides more flexibility in the generation of policy-relevant alternative projection scenarios. Furthermore, it improves the overall quality of the projection, as more sources of heterogeneity are considered, which also allows for a more refined modeling of demographic events. Traditional demographic projections using the cohort-component method can only provide outcomes related to the age and sex structure of a population. When extended to multistate and multiregional applications (Rogers 1980, 1995), more dimensions can also be added (such as region or education). Microsimulation is a powerful tool that can be used to create population projections when the number of dimensions becomes large. Such a model is very flexible and characterised by the stochastic simulation of individual life courses based on derived parameters and individual characteristics (Van Imhoff and Post 1998). Until the late 90s, computer power was not sufficient to use microsimulation for very complex population projection.

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections PDF

Author: Stanley K. Smith

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-01-03

Total Pages: 411

ISBN-13: 9789400775503

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​

Advances in Social Simulation

Advances in Social Simulation PDF

Author: Flaminio Squazzoni

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2023-11-01

Total Pages: 595

ISBN-13: 3031349202

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This book highlights recent developments in the field of computer simulation and its application to social dynamics and behaviour. It covers latest advancements in the use of agent-based modelling by focusing on thematic issues, methodological progress and applications, including policy, industry and business. It aims to promote this interdisciplinary type of research by showing synergies, complementary and integration especially between computer sciences, social sciences, economics and organization, often bridging qualitative and quantitative research. The primary audience of this book are academics, practitioners and professionals using computer simulation for business counselling or industry.

Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users

Spatial Microsimulation: A Reference Guide for Users PDF

Author: Robert Tanton

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-11-13

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 9400746237

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This book is a practical guide on how to design, create and validate a spatial microsimulation model. These models are becoming more popular as academics and policy makers recognise the value of place in research and policy making. Recent spatial microsimulation models have been used to analyse health and social disadvantage for small areas; and to look at the effect of policy change for small areas. This provides a powerful analysis tool for researchers and policy makers. This book covers preparing the data for spatial microsimulation; a number of methods for both static and dynamic spatial microsimulation models; validation of the models to ensure the outputs are reasonable; and the future of spatial microsimulation. The book will be an essential handbook for any researcher or policy maker looking to design and create a spatial microsimulation model. This book will also be useful to those policy makers who are commissioning a spatial microsimulation model, or looking to commission work using a spatial microsimulation model, as it provides information on the different methods in a non-technical way.

Small Area Estimation and Microsimulation Modeling

Small Area Estimation and Microsimulation Modeling PDF

Author: Azizur Rahman

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2016-11-30

Total Pages: 456

ISBN-13: 1315354942

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Small Area Estimation and Microsimulation Modeling is the first practical handbook that comprehensively presents modern statistical SAE methods in the framework of ultramodern spatial microsimulation modeling while providing the novel approach of creating synthetic spatial microdata. Along with describing the necessary theories and their advantages and limitations, the authors illustrate the practical application of the techniques to a large number of substantive problems, including how to build up models, organize and link data, create synthetic microdata, conduct analyses, yield informative tables and graphs, and evaluate how the findings effectively support the decision making processes in government and non-government organizations. Features Covers both theoretical and applied aspects for real-world comparative research and regional statistics production Thoroughly explains how microsimulation modeling technology can be constructed using available datasets for reliable small area statistics Provides SAS codes that allow readers to utilize these latest technologies in their own work. This book is designed for advanced graduate students, academics, professionals and applied practitioners who are generally interested in small area estimation and/or microsimulation modeling and dealing with vital issues in social and behavioural sciences, applied economics and policy analysis, government and/or social statistics, health sciences, business, psychology, environmental and agriculture modeling, computational statistics and data simulation, spatial statistics, transport and urban planning, and geospatial modeling. Dr Azizur Rahman is a Senior Lecturer in Statistics and convenor of the Graduate Program in Applied Statistics at the Charles Sturt University, and an Adjunct Associate Professor of Public Health and Biostatistics at the University of Canberra. His research encompasses small area estimation, applied economics, microsimulation modeling, Bayesian inference and public health. He has more than 60 scholarly publications including two books. Dr. Rahman’s research is funded by the Australian Federal and State Governments, and he serves on a range of editorial boards including the International Journal of Microsimulation (IJM). Professor Ann Harding, AO is an Emeritus Professor of Applied Economics and Social Policy at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM) of the University of Canberra. She was the founder and inaugural Director of this world class Research Centre for more than sixteen years, and also a co-founder of the International Microsimulation Association (IMA) and served as the inaugural elected president of IMA from 2004 to 2011. She is a fellow of the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia. She has more than 300 publications including several books in microsimulation modeling.

Spatial Microsimulation with R

Spatial Microsimulation with R PDF

Author: Robin Lovelace

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2017-09-07

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 131536316X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Generate and Analyze Multi-Level Data Spatial microsimulation involves the generation, analysis, and modeling of individual-level data allocated to geographical zones. Spatial Microsimulation with R is the first practical book to illustrate this approach in a modern statistical programming language. Get Insight into Complex Behaviors The book progresses from the principles underlying population synthesis toward more complex issues such as household allocation and using the results of spatial microsimulation for agent-based modeling. This equips you with the skills needed to apply the techniques to real-world situations. The book demonstrates methods for population synthesis by combining individual and geographically aggregated datasets using the recent R packages ipfp and mipfp. This approach represents the "best of both worlds" in terms of spatial resolution and person-level detail, overcoming issues of data confidentiality and reproducibility. Implement the Methods on Your Own Data Full of reproducible examples using code and data, the book is suitable for students and applied researchers in health, economics, transport, geography, and other fields that require individual-level data allocated to small geographic zones. By explaining how to use tools for modeling phenomena that vary over space, the book enhances your knowledge of complex systems and empowers you to provide evidence-based policy guidance.

Introduction to Small Area Estimation Techniques

Introduction to Small Area Estimation Techniques PDF

Author: Asian Development Bank

Publisher: Asian Development Bank

Published: 2020-05-01

Total Pages: 152

ISBN-13: 9292622234

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This guide to small area estimation aims to help users compile more reliable granular or disaggregated data in cost-effective ways. It explains small area estimation techniques with examples of how the easily accessible R analytical platform can be used to implement them, particularly to estimate indicators on poverty, employment, and health outcomes. The guide is intended for staff of national statistics offices and for other development practitioners. It aims to help them to develop and implement targeted socioeconomic policies to ensure that the vulnerable segments of societies are not left behind, and to monitor progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals.

Microeconometrics

Microeconometrics PDF

Author: A. Colin Cameron

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2005-05-09

Total Pages: 1058

ISBN-13: 1139444867

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This book provides the most comprehensive treatment to date of microeconometrics, the analysis of individual-level data on the economic behavior of individuals or firms using regression methods for cross section and panel data. The book is oriented to the practitioner. A basic understanding of the linear regression model with matrix algebra is assumed. The text can be used for a microeconometrics course, typically a second-year economics PhD course; for data-oriented applied microeconometrics field courses; and as a reference work for graduate students and applied researchers who wish to fill in gaps in their toolkit. Distinguishing features of the book include emphasis on nonlinear models and robust inference, simulation-based estimation, and problems of complex survey data. The book makes frequent use of numerical examples based on generated data to illustrate the key models and methods. More substantially, it systematically integrates into the text empirical illustrations based on seven large and exceptionally rich data sets.

Simulating Societal Change

Simulating Societal Change PDF

Author: Peter Davis

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9783030047870

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This book presents a method for creating a working model of society, using data systems and simulation techniques, that can be used for testing propositions of scientific and policy nature. The model is based on the example of New Zealand, but will be applicable to other countries. It is expected that collaborators in other countries can emulate this example with their data systems for teaching and policy purposes, producing a cross-national "collaboratory". This enterprise will evolve with, and to a degree independently of, the book itself, with a supporting website as well as teaching and scientific initiatives. Readers of this text will, for the first time, have a simulation-based working model of society that can be interrogated for policy and substantive purposes. This book will appeal to researchers and professionals from various disciplines working within the social sciences, particularly on matters of demography and public policy.