Macroeconomic Volatility in Reformed Latin America
Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher: IDB
Published: 2001
Total Pages: 186
ISBN-13: 9781931003070
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher: IDB
Published: 2001
Total Pages: 186
ISBN-13: 9781931003070
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Author: Rishi Goyal
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2006-12-01
Total Pages: 54
ISBN-13: 1451865473
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This paper compares the pattern of macroeconomic volatility in 17 Latin American countries during episodes of high and low growth since 1970, examining in particular the role of policy volatility. Macroeconomic outcomes are distinguished from macroeconomic policies, structural reforms and reversals, shocks, and institutional constraints. Based on previous work, a composite measure of structural reforms is constructed for the 1970-2004 period. We find that outcomes and policies are more volatile in low growth episodes, while shocks (except U.S. interest rates) are similar across episodes. Fiscal policy volatility is associated with lower growth, but fiscal policy procyclicality is not. Low levels of market-oriented reforms and structural reform reversals are also associated with lower growth.
Author: Eduardo Wiesner Durán
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 304
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This work blends together the interdependent issues of macroeconomic performance and volatility, equity and distributive justice, fiscal deficits and the redistributive effectiveness of social public expenditures, and the demand for the 'right' institutions and for policy reform in Latin America.
Author: Ricardo J. Caballero
Publisher:
Published: 2000
Total Pages: 62
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →After decades of trial, error, and occasional regress the pieces of a successful Latin American economic model can be seen scattered among the leading economies of the region. The most traditional macroeconomic maladies of the emerging world - such as chronic fiscal imbalances and monetary gimmicks are gradually being left behind. Many of these economies have made significant progress in their regulatory and supervisory frameworks and, at times, have been leaders beyond Latin American boundaries in allowing private sector co-participation in a wide array of ex-public sector activities. Despite these significant efforts, several structural sources of volatility remain, and new ones have emerged as a result of the new and otherwise better economic environment. In this paper I review these sources through the recent experiences of Argentina, Chile and Mexico.
Author: Anoop Singh
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2006-07
Total Pages: 36
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →The recent recovery in Latin America has been impressive but also raises the question whether this represents a fundamental break with the region's history of boom-bust cycles. The paper traces how this history of macroeconomic volatility and financial crisis over the past century has adversely impacted on growth and other development indicators, and the role played by policy instability. The paper then concludes that recent policies in the region offer encouragement that these vulnerabilities are being addressed, but notes that an important agenda still remains to be addressed.
Author: Eduardo Wiesner
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Published: 2009-01-01
Total Pages: 297
ISBN-13: 184844026X
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This book is a must read for anyone interested in policy reforms in Latin America. The author combines tremendous experience in the field and deep knowledge of economic theory: a rare combination. Alberto Alesina, Harvard University, US One of the key contributions of this book is its insistence on the importance of policy, institutional and political accountability for evaluating and enhancing macroeconomic performance and for reducing inequality. John B. Taylor, Stanford University and Hoover Institution, US Dr Wiesner combines a command of modern political and economic theories and detailed knowledge of Latin America to clarify why reform of policies and institutions has proved so difficult in that region. His general conclusion is that initial conditions of inequality and poverty reduce the demand for reform, but he finds that the process manifests itself differently in different countries. He identifies several necessary conditions for breaking out of these vicious circles. Scholars and practitioners alike can learn from his impressively thorough and detailed analysis. Avinash K. Dixit, Princeton University, US This book argues insightfully that underdevelopment is the result of the political economy difficulties some countries have in the effectiveness of public expenditures in general and of social pro-poor expenditures in particular. The policy implication is that reform strategies should focus on identifying the wrong political incentives in public expenditures. Ricardo Hausmann, Harvard University, US Eduardo Wiesner s book makes an important contribution to the understanding of development by blending together the interdependent issues of (i) macroeconomic performance and volatility, (ii) equity and distributive justice, (iii) fiscal deficits and the redistributive effectiveness of social public expenditures, and (iv) the demand for the right institutions and for policy reform in Latin America. It does this by examining recent macroeconomic crises from a political economy perspective, and finds that information is the critical algorithm that links together the demand for macroeconomic stability, macroeconomic performance and, ultimately, distributive justice. This volume is geared toward those interested in the political economy of development and policy reform in general and in Latin America, including academics, policy makers, and the general reader.
Author: Mr.R. Gelos
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2014-03-27
Total Pages: 202
ISBN-13: 1484377133
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →How has Latin America coped with external shocks and economic vulnerabilities in the aftermath of the global financial crisis? Managing Economic Volatility in Latin America looks at how the region has fared in recent years in an environment of uncertainty. It presents a collection of novel contributions on capital flows, terms of trade, and macroeconomic policy in Latin America. The rigorous expert analysis offers an up-to-date guide to many of the key economic policy questions in the region. Chapters focus on important analytical issues, including assessing reserves adequacy and current account levels. The roles of macroeconomic policies and exchange rates regimes in coping with large capital inflows are examined, as well as the effectiveness of both monetary policy and fiscal policy in dealing with economic challenges in the region.
Author: Nancy Birdsall
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Published: 1998-09-01
Total Pages: 382
ISBN-13: 9780815791294
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Latin American income distribution is among the most unequal in the world. Both the poor and the wealthy have paid a price for this inequality, which is in part responsible for the region's low growth rates. The essays in this book propose new ways of reducing inequality, not by growth-inhibiting transfers and regulations, but by enhancing efficiency—eliminating consumption subsidies for the wealthy, increasing the productivity of the poor, and shifting to a more labor and skill-demanding growth path. In Beyond Tradeoffs, Latin American experts demonstrate how market-friendly measures in key policy areas can simultaneously promote greater equity and greater efficiency. By identifying win-win strategies, the authors challenge the conventional wisdom that there is always a tradeoff between these two objectives. Extensive macroeconomic reforms in the region have provided opportunities to implement such strategies across many sectors. The volume aims at building a "Latin consensus" on a second round of reforms—reforms that address the urgent issue of inequality without undermining efficient growth. Contributors include Jonathan Coles, Rene Cortazar, Ricardo Hausmann, Juan Luis Londoño, Nora Lustig, Moises Naím, and Joseph Stiglitz. Copublished with the Inter-American Development Bank
Author: Mr.Jeronimo Zettelmeyer
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Published: 2006-09-01
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9781451864700
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This paper presents a number of facts about growth in Latin America, and shows how critical correlates of growth have evolved over time. In comparison with other regions, Latin America has consistently exhibited higher macroeconomic volatility, lower openness, and higher income inequality, though openness and macroeconomic stability have improved since the early 1990s. The paper then discusses three views of why reforms have not led to higher growth in Latin America: that reforms have gone too far; that reforms have not gone far enough; and that reforms have missed the point.
Author: Luis Catão
Publisher: Inter-American Development Bank
Published: 2008-04-01
Total Pages: 56
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Latin America is growing fast and fundamentals look healthier. Are these achievements here to stay? Strong commodity prices may not last forever and a US recession could have major repercussions in the region. Should countries prepare now for tomorrow's crisis? What is the top-ten list on the policy agenda? This report's aim is to present an alternative perspective in order to avoid either complacency or the "irrational exuberance" famously noted by Alan Greenspan, instead bringing into focus the macroeconomic policy challenges that logically follow from this alternative perspective. Our hope is that both policymakers and multilateral organizations will find this material stimulating enough to precipitate a useful-and in our view, necessary-debate.