Inflation Matters

Inflation Matters PDF

Author: Pete Comley

Publisher: Pete Comley

Published: 2015-01-30

Total Pages: 255

ISBN-13: 0957303831

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Inflation Matters is the first truly comprehensive book about inflation written in a simple and easy-to-read style. The book covers everything from the basics of how inflation is defined and measured through to the impact of inflation and its winners and losers. It highlights the difficulty in calculating inflation and that conventional measures (such as CPI in the UK) often underestimate it for a number of reasons. It also examines deflation and why it is regarded as a problem by economists. The book examines the history of world inflation. It looks at the causes of inflation and shows that they are many and complex. The book reveals a new model of inflation – Inflationary Wave Theory. It proposes that long-term inflation is created by population growth and competition for resources. Price increases depict a wave-like pattern over the centuries due to effects of man exploiting the inflation trend to such a point that prices eventually consolidate over a long period. The world is about to enter this stage of near-zero inflation. The book examines how this transition might take place and the conditions that need to be fulfilled. It is likely to be accompanied by some form of deflationary shock. Investing over the coming decades will therefore be difficult and the book discusses the implications of it for future wealth management. Book contents: PART I: INFLATION FACT AND FICTION 1 What is inflation? 2 Inflation and the money supply theory 3 Other theories about inflation 4 Deflation and why it is regarded as a problem 5 UK inflation measures 6 Inflation measurement issues PART II: INFLATION PAST 7 Inflationary Wave Theory 8 World War I and learning about hyperinflation 9 The 1930s depression and the deflation bogeyman 10 World War II, debts and the low inflation world 11 The 1970s inflation crisis and fiat currencies PART III: INFLATION PRESENT 12 The Great Moderation and the Great Recession 13 Japan and deflation 14 Governments and inflation 15 The era of inflation targeting 16 The impact of current inflation PART IV: DEFLATION YET TO COME 17 The big picture: a century of more stable prices 18 The transition period and near-term inflation 19 Price stability and the consolidation period 20 Managing wealth as we head towards near-zero inflation More information can be found at: inflationmatters.com.

Inflation Matters

Inflation Matters PDF

Author: Pete Comley

Publisher: CreateSpace

Published: 2015-07-31

Total Pages: 254

ISBN-13: 9781515090991

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"This well written, thoroughly researched and interesting book provides a comprehensive and well balanced account of what causes inflation and what we can do about it." John Mills (economist, , political commentator, and founder and chairman of JML, the consumer goods company.) "This easily readable book (it is mercifully free from equations, jargon and excessive references) serves two purposes. The first is to describe and explain the concepts involved and the implications of inflation at various levels. It answers the textbook need for a clear and straightforward grasp of the subject. The second purpose is to derive a very long term pattern of cycles which, being likely to continue into the future, may assist in prediction and thus in making investment decisions. If a book is to enable one to assemble a body of knowledge constructively and systematically and if one hopes in the process to be stimulated into new thoughts, then Inflation Matters is not only well worth reading but a book that amply justifies its title." (Book review - Economics Research Council - May 2015) Book Description: Inflation Matters is the first truly comprehensive book about inflation written in a simple and easy-to-read style. The book covers everything from the basics of how inflation is defined and measured through to the impact of inflation and its winners and losers. It highlights the difficulty in calculating inflation and that conventional measures (such as CPI in the UK) often underestimate it for a number of reasons. It also examines deflation and why it is regarded as a problem by economists. The book examines the history of world inflation. It looks at the causes of inflation and shows that they are many and complex. The book reveals a new model of inflation - Inflationary Wave Theory. It proposes that long-term inflation is created by population growth and competition for resources. Price increases depict a wave-like pattern over the centuries due to effects of man exploiting the inflation trend to such a point that prices eventually consolidate over a long period. The world is about to enter this stage of near-zero inflation. The book examines how this transition might take place and the conditions that need to be fulfilled. It is likely to be accompanied by some form of deflationary shock. Investing over the coming decades will therefore be difficult and the book discusses the implications of it for future wealth management. Book contents: PART I: INFLATION FACT AND FICTION 1 What is inflation? 2 Inflation and the money supply theory 3 Other theories about inflation 4 Deflation and why it is regarded as a problem 5 UK inflation measures 6 Inflation measurement issues PART II: INFLATION PAST 7 Inflationary Wave Theory 8 World War I and learning about hyperinflation 9 The 1930s depression and the deflation bogeyman 10 World War II, debts and the low inflation world 11 The 1970s inflation crisis and fiat currencies PART III: INFLATION PRESENT 12 The Great Moderation and the Great Recession 13 Japan and deflation 14 Governments and inflation 15 The era of inflation targeting 16 The impact of current inflation PART IV: DEFLATION YET TO COME 17 The big picture: a century of more stable prices 18 The transition period and near-term inflation 19 Price stability and the consolidation period 20 Managing wealth as we head towards near-zero inflation More information can be found at: inflationmatters.com.

Inflation Expectations

Inflation Expectations PDF

Author: Peter J. N. Sinclair

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2009-12-16

Total Pages: 402

ISBN-13: 1135179778

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Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

The Truth About Inflation

The Truth About Inflation PDF

Author: Paul Donovan

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2015-03-27

Total Pages: 215

ISBN-13: 1317690044

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Inflation is a simple topic, in that the basic concepts are something that everyone can understand. However, inflation is not a simplistic topic. The composition of inflation and what the different inflation measures try to represent cannot be summarised with a single line on a chart or a casual reference to a solitary data point. Investors very often fail to understand the detail behind inflation, and end up making bad investment decisions as a result. The Truth About Inflation does not set out to forecast inflation, but to help improve its understanding, so that investors can make better decisions to achieve the real returns that they need. Starting with a summary of long history of inflation, the drivers of price change are considered. Many of the "urban myths" that have built up about inflation are shown to be a consequence of irrational judgement or political scaremongering. Some behaviour, like the unhealthy veneration of gold as a means of inflation protection, is shown to be the result of historical accident. In the modern era of lower nominal investment returns, inflation inequality (whereby some groups experience persistently higher inflation than others) is a very important consideration. This book sets out the realities of price changes in the modern investing environment, without using economic equations or jargon. It gives investors the framework they need to think about inflation and how to protect themselves against it, whether the aggregate inflation of the future rises or falls from current levels.

The Great Inflation

The Great Inflation PDF

Author: Michael D. Bordo

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2013-06-28

Total Pages: 545

ISBN-13: 0226066959

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Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

The Inflation-Targeting Debate

The Inflation-Targeting Debate PDF

Author: Ben S. Bernanke

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-11-01

Total Pages: 469

ISBN-13: 0226044734

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Over the past fifteen years, a significant number of industrialized and middle-income countries have adopted inflation targeting as a framework for monetary policymaking. As the name suggests, in such inflation-targeting regimes, the central bank is responsible for achieving a publicly announced target for the inflation rate. While the objective of controlling inflation enjoys wide support among both academic experts and policymakers, and while the countries that have followed this model have generally experienced good macroeconomic outcomes, many important questions about inflation targeting remain. In Inflation Targeting, a distinguished group of contributors explores the many underexamined dimensions of inflation targeting—its potential, its successes, and its limitations—from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint, and for both developed and emerging economies. The volume opens with a discussion of the optimal formulation of inflation-targeting policy and continues with a debate about the desirability of such a model for the United States. The concluding chapters discuss the special problems of inflation targeting in emerging markets, including the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary.

Inflation Targeting

Inflation Targeting PDF

Author: John E. Baiden

Publisher: Xlibris Corporation

Published: 2012-03-02

Total Pages: 102

ISBN-13: 1469169479

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This book happens to be the authors treatise on inflation and his thesis on Inflation Targeting. The book discusses the remedies for inflation in general and inflation targeting in particular.

Monetary Regimes and Inflation

Monetary Regimes and Inflation PDF

Author: Peter Bernholz

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 2015-04-30

Total Pages: 311

ISBN-13: 1784717630

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Exploring the characteristics of inflations and comparing historical cases from Roman times up to the modern day, this book provides an in depth discussion of the subject. It analyses the high and moderate inflations caused by the inflationary bias of

Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies PDF

Author: Jongrim Ha

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2019-02-24

Total Pages: 513

ISBN-13: 1464813760

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This is the first comprehensive study in the context of EMDEs that covers, in one consistent framework, the evolution and global and domestic drivers of inflation, the role of expectations, exchange rate pass-through and policy implications. In addition, the report analyzes inflation and monetary policy related challenges in LICs. The report documents three major findings: In First, EMDE disinflation over the past four decades was to a significant degree a result of favorable external developments, pointing to the risk of rising EMDE inflation if global inflation were to increase. In particular, the decline in EMDE inflation has been supported by broad-based global disinflation amid rapid international trade and financial integration and the disruption caused by the global financial crisis. While domestic factors continue to be the main drivers of short-term movements in EMDE inflation, the role of global factors has risen by one-half between the 1970s and the 2000s. On average, global shocks, especially oil price swings and global demand shocks have accounted for more than one-quarter of domestic inflation variatio--and more in countries with stronger global linkages and greater reliance on commodity imports. In LICs, global food and energy price shocks accounted for another 12 percent of core inflation variatio--half more than in advanced economies and one-fifth more than in non-LIC EMDEs. Second, inflation expectations continue to be less well-anchored in EMDEs than in advanced economies, although a move to inflation targeting and better fiscal frameworks has helped strengthen monetary policy credibility. Lower monetary policy credibility and exchange rate flexibility have also been associated with higher pass-through of exchange rate shocks into domestic inflation in the event of global shocks, which have accounted for half of EMDE exchange rate variation. Third, in part because of poorly anchored inflation expectations, the transmission of global commodity price shocks to domestic LIC inflation (combined with unintended consequences of other government policies) can have material implications for poverty: the global food price spikes in 2010-11 tipped roughly 8 million people into poverty.