How to Manage the Fiscal Costs of Natural Disasters

How to Manage the Fiscal Costs of Natural Disasters PDF

Author: Mr.Serhan Cevik

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-06-11

Total Pages: 18

ISBN-13: 1484359453

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This how-to note focuses on the management of the fiscal costs associated with natural disaster risks. Unlike other types of fiscal risks (for example, unexpected macroeconomic changes or materialization of contingent liabilities), a natural disaster presents a unique challenge to fiscal risk-management and budget processes because of its exogenous nature and potentially overwhelming scale. This note discusses how governments can build fiscal resilience against natural hazards and strengthen fiscal management after a disaster, including through budgeting frameworks and other fiscal policies. The note aims to answer three central questions: How large should fiscal buffers be? How should fiscal buffers be built up? How should fiscal buffers be used efficiently and transparently once a natural disaster has struck? These three questions directly relate to fiscal policy, fiscal risk management, and the budget process—all core areas of IMF expertise. To address them, the note focuses on fiscal strategies for financing recovery efforts and considers approaches to mitigate disaster impact. The note also provides guidance on how to conduct regular risk analyses of natural disasters’ potential fiscal consequences and outlines best practices for defining and accounting for the contingent liabilities associated with natural disasters in budgeting frameworks. Finally, the note touches on approaches for risk reduction, disaster risk financing strategies, and risk transfer mechanisms, such as various insurance instruments.

Fiscal Resilience to Natural Disasters Lessons from Country Experiences

Fiscal Resilience to Natural Disasters Lessons from Country Experiences PDF

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2019-05-20

Total Pages: 200

ISBN-13: 9264969446

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This report presents the results of a study that compares country practices in the management of the financial implications of disasters on government finances for a set of OECD member countries and partner economies particularly exposed to natural hazards.

Fiscal Buffers for Natural Disasters in Pacific Island Countries

Fiscal Buffers for Natural Disasters in Pacific Island Countries PDF

Author: Hidetaka Nishizawa

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-07-12

Total Pages: 31

ISBN-13: 1513507982

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Pacific island countries (PICs) are vulnerable severe natural disasters, especially cyclones, inflicting large losses on their economies. In the aftermath of disasters, PIC governments face revenue losses and spending pressures to address post-disaster relief and recovery efforts. This paper estimates the effects of severe natural disasters on fiscal revenues and expenditure in PICs. These are combined with information on the frequency of large disasters to calculate the rate of budgetary savings needed to build appropriate fiscal buffers. Fiscal buffers provide self-insurance against natural disaster shocks and facilitate quick disbursement for recovery and relief efforts, and protection of spending on essential services and infrastructure. The estimates can provide a benchmark for policymakers, and should be adjusted to take into account other sources of financing, as well as budget risks from less severe as well as more frequent disasters.

The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities

The Fiscal Costs of Contingent Liabilities PDF

Author: Ms.Elva Bova

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-02-08

Total Pages: 55

ISBN-13: 1498303609

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We construct the first comprehensive dataset of contingent liability realizations in advanced and emerging markets for the period 1990–2014. We find that contingent liability realizations are a major source of fiscal distress. The average fiscal cost of a contingent liability realization is 6 percent of GDP but costs can be as high as 40 percent for major financial sector bailouts. Contingent liability realizations are correlated among each other and tend to occur during periods of growth reversals and crises, accentuating pressure on the budget during already difficult times. Countries with stronger institutions are able to better control and address the underlying risks so that they are less exposed to contingent liability realizations.

The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters

The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters PDF

Author: Debarati Guha-Sapir

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2013-05-23

Total Pages: 341

ISBN-13: 0199841934

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This work combines research and empirical evidence on the economic costs of disasters with theoretical approaches. It provides new insights on how to assess and manage the costs and impacts of disaster prevention, mitigation, recovery and adaption, and much more.

Fiscal Resilience to Natural Disasters

Fiscal Resilience to Natural Disasters PDF

Author:

Publisher:

Published:

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 9789264394407

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Natural disasters continue to cause widespread damage and losses, with fast growing economies particularly exposed. Governments often shoulder a significant share of the costs of disaster recovery and reconstruction. This is true in OECD countries and even more so in developing economies, where private insurance markets are not as well developed. The fiscal impact of disasters on a government's budget can be sizeable. Expenditures for the government arise from both explicit and implicit commitments to compensate for disaster losses. This report presents the results of a study that compares country practices in the management of the financial implications of disasters on government finances for a set of OECD member and partner countries particularly exposed to natural hazards.

Dealing with Increased Risk of Natural Disasters

Dealing with Increased Risk of Natural Disasters PDF

Author: Mr.Muthukumara Mani

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2003-10-01

Total Pages: 39

ISBN-13: 145186003X

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Natural disaster risk is emerging as an increasingly important constraint on economic development and poverty reduction. This paper first sets out the key stylized facts in the area-that the costs of disaster have been increasing, seem set to continue to increase, and bear especially heavily on the poorest. It then reviews the key economic issues at stake, focusing in particular on the actual and prospective roles of, and interaction between, market instruments and public interventions in dealing with disaster risk. Key sources of market failure include the difficulty of risk spreading and, perhaps even more fundamental, the Samaritan's dilemma: the underinvestment in protective measures associated with the rational expectation that others will provide support if disaster occurs. Innovations addressing each of these are discussed.

Understanding the Economic and Financial Impacts of Natural Disasters

Understanding the Economic and Financial Impacts of Natural Disasters PDF

Author: Charlotte Benson

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 136

ISBN-13:

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Disaster prevention and mitigation are integral to development activities. In February 2000, the World Bank's Disaster Management Facility initiated a three-year study on the economic and financial consequences of natural disasters with the support of the U.K. Department for International Development.