Fuzzy Probabilities

Fuzzy Probabilities PDF

Author: James J. Buckley

Publisher: Physica

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 168

ISBN-13: 3642867863

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In probability and statistics we often have to estimate probabilities and parameters in probability distributions using a random sample. Instead of using a point estimate calculated from the data we propose using fuzzy numbers which are constructed from a set of confidence intervals. In probability calculations we apply constrained fuzzy arithmetic because probabilities must add to one. Fuzzy random variables have fuzzy distributions. A fuzzy normal random variable has the normal distribution with fuzzy number mean and variance. Applications are to queuing theory, Markov chains, inventory control, decision theory and reliability theory.

Fuzzy Probabilities and Fuzzy Sets for Web Planning

Fuzzy Probabilities and Fuzzy Sets for Web Planning PDF

Author: James J. Buckley

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2012-09-23

Total Pages: 190

ISBN-13: 3540364269

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1.1 Introduction This book is written in five major divisions. The first part is the introduc tory chapters consisting of Chapters 1-3. In part two, Chapters 4-10, we use fuzzy probabilities to model a fuzzy queuing system . We switch to employ ing fuzzy arrival rates and fuzzy service rates to model the fuzzy queuing system in part three in Chapters 11 and 12. Optimization models comprise part four in Chapters 13-17. The final part has a brief summary and sug gestions for future research in Chapter 18, and a summary of our numerical methods for calculating fuzzy probabilities, values of objective functions in fuzzy optimization, etc., is in Chapter 19. First we need to be familiar with fuzzy sets. All you need to know about fuzzy sets for this book comprises Chapter 2. Two other items relating to fuzzy sets, needed in Chapters 13-17, are also in Chapter 2: (1) how we plan to handle the maximum/minimum of a fuzzy set; and (2) how we will rank a finite collection of fuzzy numbers from smallest to largest.

Fuzzy Probability and Statistics

Fuzzy Probability and Statistics PDF

Author: James J. Buckley

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2008-09-12

Total Pages: 262

ISBN-13: 3540331905

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This book combines material from our previous books FP (Fuzzy Probabilities: New Approach and Applications,Physica-Verlag, 2003) and FS (Fuzzy Statistics, Springer, 2004), plus has about one third new results. From FP we have material on basic fuzzy probability, discrete (fuzzy Poisson,binomial) and continuous (uniform, normal, exponential) fuzzy random variables. From FS we included chapters on fuzzy estimation and fuzzy hypothesis testing related to means, variances, proportions, correlation and regression. New material includes fuzzy estimators for arrival and service rates, and the uniform distribution, with applications in fuzzy queuing theory. Also, new to this book, is three chapters on fuzzy maximum entropy (imprecise side conditions) estimators producing fuzzy distributions and crisp discrete/continuous distributions. Other new results are: (1) two chapters on fuzzy ANOVA (one-way and two-way); (2) random fuzzy numbers with applications to fuzzy Monte Carlo studies; and (3) a fuzzy nonparametric estimator for the median.

Fuzzy Sets in Decision Analysis, Operations Research and Statistics

Fuzzy Sets in Decision Analysis, Operations Research and Statistics PDF

Author: Roman Slowiński

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 467

ISBN-13: 1461556457

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Fuzzy Sets in Decision Analysis, Operations Research and Statistics includes chapters on fuzzy preference modeling, multiple criteria analysis, ranking and sorting methods, group decision-making and fuzzy game theory. It also presents optimization techniques such as fuzzy linear and non-linear programming, applications to graph problems and fuzzy combinatorial methods such as fuzzy dynamic programming. In addition, the book also accounts for advances in fuzzy data analysis, fuzzy statistics, and applications to reliability analysis. These topics are covered within four parts: Decision Making, Mathematical Programming, Statistics and Data Analysis, and Reliability, Maintenance and Replacement. The scope and content of the book has resulted from multiple interactions between the editor of the volume, the series editors, the series advisory board, and experts in each chapter area. Each chapter was written by a well-known researcher on the topic and reviewed by other experts in the area. These expert reviewers sometimes became co-authors because of the extent of their contribution to the chapter. As a result, twenty-five authors from twelve countries and four continents were involved in the creation of the 13 chapters, which enhances the international character of the project and gives an idea of how carefully the Handbook has been developed.

Fuzzy Logic Theory and Applications

Fuzzy Logic Theory and Applications PDF

Author: Lotfi A Zadeh

Publisher: World Scientific Publishing

Published: 2018-11-28

Total Pages: 612

ISBN-13: 9813238194

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Nowadays, voluminous textbooks and monographs in fuzzy logic are devoted only to separate or some combination of separate facets of fuzzy logic. There is a lack of a single book that presents a comprehensive and self-contained theory of fuzzy logic and its applications. Written by world renowned authors, Lofti Zadeh, also known as the Father of Fuzzy Logic, and Rafik Aliev, who are pioneers in fuzzy logic and fuzzy sets, this unique compendium includes all the principal facets of fuzzy logic such as logical, fuzzy-set-theoretic, epistemic and relational. Theoretical problems are prominently illustrated and illuminated by numerous carefully worked-out and thought-through examples. This invaluable volume will be a useful reference guide for academics, practitioners, graduates and undergraduates in fuzzy logic and its applications.

Fuzzy Statistics

Fuzzy Statistics PDF

Author: James J. Buckley

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2013-11-11

Total Pages: 166

ISBN-13: 3540399194

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1. 1 Introduction This book is written in four major divisions. The first part is the introductory chapters consisting of Chapters 1 and 2. In part two, Chapters 3-11, we develop fuzzy estimation. For example, in Chapter 3 we construct a fuzzy estimator for the mean of a normal distribution assuming the variance is known. More details on fuzzy estimation are in Chapter 3 and then after Chapter 3, Chapters 4-11 can be read independently. Part three, Chapters 12- 20, are on fuzzy hypothesis testing. For example, in Chapter 12 we consider the test Ho : /1 = /10 verses HI : /1 f=- /10 where /1 is the mean of a normal distribution with known variance, but we use a fuzzy number (from Chapter 3) estimator of /1 in the test statistic. More details on fuzzy hypothesis testing are in Chapter 12 and then after Chapter 12 Chapters 13-20 may be read independently. Part four, Chapters 21-27, are on fuzzy regression and fuzzy prediction. We start with fuzzy correlation in Chapter 21. Simple linear regression is the topic in Chapters 22-24 and Chapters 25-27 concentrate on multiple linear regression. Part two (fuzzy estimation) is used in Chapters 22 and 25; and part 3 (fuzzy hypothesis testing) is employed in Chapters 24 and 27. Fuzzy prediction is contained in Chapters 23 and 26. A most important part of our models in fuzzy statistics is that we always start with a random sample producing crisp (non-fuzzy) data.

Fuzzy Statistical Inferences Based on Fuzzy Random Variables

Fuzzy Statistical Inferences Based on Fuzzy Random Variables PDF

Author: Gholamreza Hesamian

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2022-02-24

Total Pages: 313

ISBN-13: 1000539776

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This book presents the most commonly used techniques for the most statistical inferences based on fuzzy data. It brings together many of the main ideas used in statistical inferences in one place, based on fuzzy information including fuzzy data. This book covers a much wider range of topics than a typical introductory text on fuzzy statistics. It includes common topics like elementary probability, descriptive statistics, hypothesis tests, one-way ANOVA, control-charts, reliability systems and regression models. The reader is assumed to know calculus and a little fuzzy set theory. The conventional knowledge of probability and statistics is required. Key Features: Includes example in Mathematica and MATLAB. Contains theoretical and applied exercises for each section. Presents various popular methods for analyzing fuzzy data. The book is suitable for students and researchers in statistics, social science, engineering, and economics, and it can be used at graduate and P.h.D level.

Knowledge Engineering

Knowledge Engineering PDF

Author: Gheorghe Tecuci

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2016-09-08

Total Pages: 482

ISBN-13: 1316654184

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This book presents a significant advancement in the theory and practice of knowledge engineering, the discipline concerned with the development of intelligent agents that use knowledge and reasoning to perform problem solving and decision-making tasks. It covers the main stages in the development of a knowledge-based agent: understanding the application domain, modeling problem solving in that domain, developing the ontology, learning the reasoning rules, and testing the agent. The book focuses on a special class of agents: cognitive assistants for evidence-based reasoning that learn complex problem-solving expertise directly from human experts, support experts, and nonexperts in problem solving and decision making, and teach their problem-solving expertise to students. A powerful learning agent shell, Disciple-EBR, is included with the book, enabling students, practitioners, and researchers to develop cognitive assistants rapidly in a wide variety of domains that require evidence-based reasoning, including intelligence analysis, cybersecurity, law, forensics, medicine, and education.