Frontiers of Population Forecasting
Author: Wolfgang Lutz
Publisher: Population
Published: 1999
Total Pages: 226
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Lanterna Rally
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The Frontiers of Applied Demography
Author: David A. Swanson
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2016-11-11
Total Pages: 517
ISBN-13: 3319433296
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This book details cutting-edge methods and findings that may shape the future of applied demography. Inside, readers will discover new insights into the databases, substantive issues, and methodological approaches that can help them to improve how they use demography in decision making and planning problems in both public and private settings. The topics and perspectives are found in the book’s 23 chapters, which are organized into three major sections: (I) Demographic Information for Decision-Making: Case Studies; (II) Data: Issues and Analyses; and (III) Projection and Estimation Methods: Evaluations, Examples, and Discussions. Coverage includes chapters on migration, demographic market analysis, future courtroom needs, trends in the needs of the elderly, access to health care, longitudinal data systems, census costs, and new approaches to small area estimation and projection methods. The case studies represent a wide range of countries, including Australia, Canada, China, England, India, Japan, and the United States of America. Overall, this edited volume collects papers that were presented at different conferences, including the 8th international conference on population geographies (University of Queensland, 2015), the 2014 Applied Demography Conference (San Antonio, Texas, USA), and the annual conference of the Canadian Population Society. Applied demography touches many aspects of our lives and its practitioners continue to push methodological and empirical boundaries. This book documents the steady evolution of this field. It shows demographers, sociologists, economists, planners, marketers, and others how they can improve the quality and relevance of demographic information now and in the future.
Moving Frontiers in Population Forecasting and Aging Sergei Scherbov 65
Author: Wolfgang Lutz
Publisher:
Published: 2017
Total Pages:
ISBN-13: 9783704501530
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →Handbook of Population
Author: Dudley L. Poston
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2006-08-10
Total Pages: 940
ISBN-13: 9780387257020
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This comprehensive handbook provides an overview and update of the issues, theories, processes, and applications of the social science of population studies. The volume's 30 chapters cover the full range of conceptual, empirical, disciplinary, and applied approaches to the study of demographic phenomena. This book is the first effort to assess the entire field since Hauser and Duncan's 1959 classic, The Study of Population. The chapter authors are among the leading contributors to demographic scholarship over the past four decades. They represent a variety of disciplines and theoretical perspectives as well as interests in both basic and applied research.
Developments in Demographic Forecasting
Author: Stefano Mazzuco
Publisher: Springer Nature
Published: 2020-09-28
Total Pages: 261
ISBN-13: 3030424723
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.
Populations, Projections, Politics
Author: Henk A. De Gans
Publisher: Rozenberg Publishers
Published: 2003
Total Pages: 288
ISBN-13: 9051707479
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This book examines the interrelations of population change, developments in projection methodology, and politics in the 1920s and 1930s. Together, the contributions in the book represent an important scholarly and critical contribution to the history of d
Better Population Forecasting for Areas and Communities
Author: Henry Van Beuren Stanbery
Publisher: U.S. Government Printing Office
Published: 1952
Total Pages: 98
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →State and Local Population Projections
Author: Stanley K. Smith
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2005-12-21
Total Pages: 433
ISBN-13: 0306473720
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections
Author: Stanley K. Smith
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2013-12-16
Total Pages: 417
ISBN-13: 9400775512
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Recommendations on Communicating Population Projections
Author: United Nations Publications
Publisher:
Published: 2019-05-17
Total Pages: 93
ISBN-13: 9211171571
DOWNLOAD EBOOK →This publication contains a series of good practices and recommendations on effectively communicating the results of population projections. Here, "communication" encompasses not only how projections should be disseminated to users, but also what should be communicated. The aim is to improve the coherence between what is produced by national statistical offices and what is needed by users, planners and decision makers.
