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Forecasting the Telephone

Author: Ithiel de Sola Pool

Publisher: Praeger

Published: 1983

Total Pages: 192

ISBN-13:

This book applies the approach of technology assessment to the telephone. The author's analysis forecasts the effect of the telephone on society and compares it with the reality. This book not only examines the social consequences of the telephone, but provides a model for future efficient assessments of new technologies. It documents a largely unknown piece of the history of American technology and anlayzes the requirements for success in technological forecasting.

Telephone Forecasting Activities

Author: New York (State). Department of Public Service. Office of Economic Research

Publisher:

Published: 1973

Total Pages: 73

ISBN-13:

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Exponential Smoothing Applied to Forecasting the Demand for Telephone Communications in Central Offices in the City of Philadelphia

Author: John Edward Sheridan

Publisher:

Published: 1971

Total Pages: 138

ISBN-13:

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Analysis of Telephone Data

Author: George C. Tiao

Publisher:

Published: 1970

Total Pages: 102

ISBN-13:

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Forecasting models are constructed for the monthly inward and outward station movements of the Wisconsin Telephone Company using an iterative procedure developed by Box and Jenkins. Data covering the period January 1951 through October 1966 were used to develop the model. Forecasts with 95% probability limits were calculated for three years from November 1966 and compared with the actual observations. The properties of the models are discussed in detail. Alternative models for forecasting are also entertained and compared with those chosen. (Author).