Floating Exchange Rates at Fifty

Floating Exchange Rates at Fifty PDF

Author: MAURICE OBSTFELD

Publisher: Peterson Institute for International Economics

Published: 2024-04-15

Total Pages: 403

ISBN-13: 0881327492

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Fifty years ago, in March 1973, the major industrial economies abandoned fixed exchange rates, conclusively ending the post–World War II Bretton Woods arrangements. Proponents believed their action would strengthen countries' ability to reconcile domestic macroeconomic policies with the balance of payments. But opponents feared it would initiate a new era of instability and financial shocks. Since 1973, much of the world has moved away from fixed exchange rates to a variety of regimes based on considerable exchange rate flexibility. But international trade conflicts and unstable capital flows, along with a rise in financial crises around the world, have nonetheless accompanied the global shift away from exchange rate pegs. How has the international monetary system performed over the past half century? What have we learned from the experience of more flexible exchange rates? What has been the impact on macroeconomic and financial stability in the years since? This book derives from papers delivered at a conference that brought together leading economists and policymakers to debate and discuss these questions, as well as to assess the evolution of the international monetary system, the dominance of the US dollar, and the role of exchange rate regimes in shaping the world economy.

Floating Exchange Rates in Developing Countries

Floating Exchange Rates in Developing Countries PDF

Author: Peter J. Quirk

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1987-05-15

Total Pages: 58

ISBN-13:

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In recent years, an increasing number of developing countries have adopted market-determined floating exchange rates. This development has represented a significant step forward in the evolution toward exchange rate flexibility that has taken place in the developing country group since the adoption of generalized floating by industrial countries in 1973.

Limits of Floating Exchange Rates

Limits of Floating Exchange Rates PDF

Author: Mr.Sebastian Weber

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2011-02-01

Total Pages: 53

ISBN-13: 1455219002

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A traditional argument in favor of flexible exchange rates is that they insulate output better from real shocks, because the exchange rate can adjust and stabilize demand for domestic goods through expenditure switching. This argument is weakened in models with high foreign currency debt and low exchange rate pass-through to import prices. The present study evaluates the empirical relevance of these two factors. We analyze the transmission of real external shocks to the domestic economy under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes for a broad sample of countries in a Panel VAR and let the responses vary with foreign currency indebtedness and import structure. We find that flexible exchange rates do not insulate output better from external shocks if the country imports mainly low pass-through goods and can even amplify the output response if foreign indebtedness is high.

From Fixed to Float

From Fixed to Float PDF

Author: Mrs.Gilda Fernandez

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2004-07-01

Total Pages: 40

ISBN-13: 1451854935

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This paper identifies the institutional and operational requisites for transitions to floating exchange rate regimes. In particular, it explores key issues underlying the transition, including developing a deep and liquid foreign exchange market, formulating intervention policies consistent with the new regime, establishing an alternative nominal anchor in the context of a new monetary policy framework, and building the capacity of market participants to manage exchange rate risks and of supervisory authorities to regulate and monitor them. It also assesses the factors that influence the pace of exit and the appropriate sequencing of exchange rate flexibility and capital account liberalization.

On the Statistical Properties of Floating Exchange Rates

On the Statistical Properties of Floating Exchange Rates PDF

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1988-01-01

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13: 1451925816

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The paper reviews the statistical behavior of major currency exchange rates during 1975-86. A close inspection indicates small deviations of recent exchange rate behavior from random walks and some systematic movements in monthly data, possibly corresponding to the relatively infrequent arrivals of information concerning major macroeconomic variables. The distributional characteristics of exchange rate changes differ between daily and monthly data and thus imply the possible presence of heterogeneity in underlying factors. These and other observations suggest care in the use of daily data in empirical work and the usefulness of explicit modeling of heterogeneity among market participants and in information structure.