Hidden Markov and Other Models for Discrete- valued Time Series

Hidden Markov and Other Models for Discrete- valued Time Series PDF

Author: Iain L. MacDonald

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 1997-01-01

Total Pages: 256

ISBN-13: 9780412558504

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Discrete-valued time series are common in practice, but methods for their analysis are not well-known. In recent years, methods have been developed which are specifically designed for the analysis of discrete-valued time series. Hidden Markov and Other Models for Discrete-Valued Time Series introduces a new, versatile, and computationally tractable class of models, the "hidden Markov" models. It presents a detailed account of these models, then applies them to data from a wide range of diverse subject areas, including medicine, climatology, and geophysics. This book will be invaluable to researchers and postgraduate and senior undergraduate students in statistics. Researchers and applied statisticians who analyze time series data in medicine, animal behavior, hydrology, and sociology will also find this information useful.

An Introduction to Discrete-Valued Time Series

An Introduction to Discrete-Valued Time Series PDF

Author: Christian H. Weiss

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2018-02-05

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 1119096960

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A much-needed introduction to the field of discrete-valued time series, with a focus on count-data time series Time series analysis is an essential tool in a wide array of fields, including business, economics, computer science, epidemiology, finance, manufacturing and meteorology, to name just a few. Despite growing interest in discrete-valued time series—especially those arising from counting specific objects or events at specified times—most books on time series give short shrift to that increasingly important subject area. This book seeks to rectify that state of affairs by providing a much needed introduction to discrete-valued time series, with particular focus on count-data time series. The main focus of this book is on modeling. Throughout numerous examples are provided illustrating models currently used in discrete-valued time series applications. Statistical process control, including various control charts (such as cumulative sum control charts), and performance evaluation are treated at length. Classic approaches like ARMA models and the Box-Jenkins program are also featured with the basics of these approaches summarized in an Appendix. In addition, data examples, with all relevant R code, are available on a companion website. Provides a balanced presentation of theory and practice, exploring both categorical and integer-valued series Covers common models for time series of counts as well as for categorical time series, and works out their most important stochastic properties Addresses statistical approaches for analyzing discrete-valued time series and illustrates their implementation with numerous data examples Covers classical approaches such as ARMA models, Box-Jenkins program and how to generate functions Includes dataset examples with all necessary R code provided on a companion website An Introduction to Discrete-Valued Time Series is a valuable working resource for researchers and practitioners in a broad range of fields, including statistics, data science, machine learning, and engineering. It will also be of interest to postgraduate students in statistics, mathematics and economics.

Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series

Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series PDF

Author: Richard A. Davis

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2016-01-06

Total Pages: 484

ISBN-13: 1466577746

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Model a Wide Range of Count Time Series Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series presents state-of-the-art methods for modeling time series of counts and incorporates frequentist and Bayesian approaches for discrete-valued spatio-temporal data and multivariate data. While the book focuses on time series of counts, some of the techniques discussed ca

Discrete-Valued Time Series

Discrete-Valued Time Series PDF

Author: Christian H Weiss

Publisher:

Published: 2024-03-12

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9783725804771

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The analysis and modeling of time series has been an active research area for more than 100 years, with the main focus on time series having a continuous range consisting of real numbers or real vectors. It took until the 1980s for the first papers on discrete-valued time series to appear. In the 2000s, a rapid increase in research activity was noted, but only in the last few years was a certain maturity and consolidation of the area of discrete-valued time series observed. This reprint is a collection of articles on a wide range of topics on discrete-valued time series (especially count time series), covering stochastic models and methods for their analysis, univariate and multivariate time series, applications of time series methods to risk analysis, statistical process control, and many more. The proposed approaches and concepts are thoroughly discussed and illustrated with several real-world data examples.

Discrete Time Series, Processes, and Applications in Finance

Discrete Time Series, Processes, and Applications in Finance PDF

Author: Gilles Zumbach

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-10-04

Total Pages: 326

ISBN-13: 3642317421

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Most financial and investment decisions are based on considerations of possible future changes and require forecasts on the evolution of the financial world. Time series and processes are the natural tools for describing the dynamic behavior of financial data, leading to the required forecasts. This book presents a survey of the empirical properties of financial time series, their descriptions by means of mathematical processes, and some implications for important financial applications used in many areas like risk evaluation, option pricing or portfolio construction. The statistical tools used to extract information from raw data are introduced. Extensive multiscale empirical statistics provide a solid benchmark of stylized facts (heteroskedasticity, long memory, fat-tails, leverage...), in order to assess various mathematical structures that can capture the observed regularities. The author introduces a broad range of processes and evaluates them systematically against the benchmark, summarizing the successes and limitations of these models from an empirical point of view. The outcome is that only multiscale ARCH processes with long memory, discrete multiplicative structures and non-normal innovations are able to capture correctly the empirical properties. In particular, only a discrete time series framework allows to capture all the stylized facts in a process, whereas the stochastic calculus used in the continuum limit is too constraining. The present volume offers various applications and extensions for this class of processes including high-frequency volatility estimators, market risk evaluation, covariance estimation and multivariate extensions of the processes. The book discusses many practical implications and is addressed to practitioners and quants in the financial industry, as well as to academics, including graduate (Master or PhD level) students. The prerequisites are basic statistics and some elementary financial mathematics.

Analysis of Discrete-valued Time Series

Analysis of Discrete-valued Time Series PDF

Author: Isabel Silva

Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 288

ISBN-13: 9783659282706

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Discrete-valued time series are common in practice, yet methods for their analysis have been developed only recently. The fact that the variables take values on a finite or countably infinite set renders the traditional representations of dependence either impossible or impractical. Several models for stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions have been proposed. The first part of this book is concerned with the statistical inference (parameter estimation and order selection) of the INteger-valued AutoRegressive, INAR(p), process, both in the context of a single and of replicated time series. The second part of the book is focused on Walsh-Fourier spectral analysis (WFA), which is a procedure used to analyze time series when sharp discontinuities and changes of level occur in data. Considering that during the surgical intervention a patient attains different levels of neuromuscular blockade, the contribution of WFA to the design of an on-line adaptive control system for neuromuscular blockade is investigated. Thus, the book should be useful either to researchers or to users interested in count time series or spectral analysis using square waveforms.

The Analysis of Time Series

The Analysis of Time Series PDF

Author: Chris Chatfield

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2016-03-30

Total Pages: 349

ISBN-13: 0203491688

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Since 1975, The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction has introduced legions of statistics students and researchers to the theory and practice of time series analysis. With each successive edition, bestselling author Chris Chatfield has honed and refined his presentation, updated the material to reflect advances in the field, and presented interesting new data sets. The sixth edition is no exception. It provides an accessible, comprehensive introduction to the theory and practice of time series analysis. The treatment covers a wide range of topics, including ARIMA probability models, forecasting methods, spectral analysis, linear systems, state-space models, and the Kalman filter. It also addresses nonlinear, multivariate, and long-memory models. The author has carefully updated each chapter, added new discussions, incorporated new datasets, and made those datasets available for download from www.crcpress.com. A free online appendix on time series analysis using R can be accessed at http://people.bath.ac.uk/mascc/TSA.usingR.doc. Highlights of the Sixth Edition: A new section on handling real data New discussion on prediction intervals A completely revised and restructured chapter on more advanced topics, with new material on the aggregation of time series, analyzing time series in finance, and discrete-valued time series A new chapter of examples and practical advice Thorough updates and revisions throughout the text that reflect recent developments and dramatic changes in computing practices over the last few years The analysis of time series can be a difficult topic, but as this book has demonstrated for two-and-a-half decades, it does not have to be daunting. The accessibility, polished presentation, and broad coverage of The Analysis of Time Series make it simply the best introduction to the subject available.

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