Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age PDF

Author: Keith B. Payne

Publisher: University Press of Kentucky

Published: 2021-10-21

Total Pages: 223

ISBN-13: 0813184134

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Keith Payne begins by asking, "Did we really learn how to deter predictably and reliably during the Cold War?" He answers cautiously in the negative, pointing out that we know only that our policies toward the Soviet Union did not fail. What we can be more certain of, in Payne's view, is that such policies will almost assuredly fail in the Second Nuclear Age—a period in which direct nuclear threat between superpowers has been replaced by threats posed by regional "rogue" powers newly armed with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons. The fundamental problem with deterrence theory is that is posits a rational—hence predictable—opponent. History frequently demonstrates the opposite. Payne argues that as the one remaining superpower, the United States needs to be more flexible in its approach to regional powers.

Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age

Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age PDF

Author: Toshi Yoshihara

Publisher: Georgetown University Press

Published: 2012-12-01

Total Pages: 258

ISBN-13: 1589019296

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A “second nuclear age” has begun in the post-Cold War world. Created by the expansion of nuclear arsenals and new proliferation in Asia, it has changed the familiar nuclear geometry of the Cold War. Increasing potency of nuclear arsenals in China, India, and Pakistan, the nuclear breakout in North Korea, and the potential for more states to cross the nuclear-weapons threshold from Iran to Japan suggest that the second nuclear age of many competing nuclear powers has the potential to be even less stable than the first. Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age assembles a group of distinguished scholars to grapple with the matter of how the United States, its allies, and its friends must size up the strategies, doctrines, and force structures currently taking shape if they are to design responses that reinforce deterrence amid vastly more complex strategic circumstances. By focusing sharply on strategy—that is, on how states use doomsday weaponry for political gain—the book distinguishes itself from familiar net assessments emphasizing quantifiable factors like hardware, technical characteristics, and manpower. While the emphasis varies from chapter to chapter, contributors pay special heed to the logistical, technological, and social dimensions of strategy alongside the specifics of force structure and operations. They never lose sight of the human factor—the pivotal factor in diplomacy, strategy, and war.

Debating Counterforce

Debating Counterforce PDF

Author: Charles-Philippe David

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2019-04-08

Total Pages: 377

ISBN-13: 042971274X

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Since the U.S. presidential elections of 1980, debate has intensified between those who believe that nuclear weapons can only deter a war not intended to be fought and those who see nuclear weapons as an advancement in weaponry that allows for the waging and winning of a nuclear war. At the focal point of this debate is the rise of the “counterforc

The Security Gamble

The Security Gamble PDF

Author: Douglas MacLean

Publisher:

Published: 1984

Total Pages: 202

ISBN-13:

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Striking a balance between the philosophical and the pragmatic, these original essays examine the moral and strategic paradoxes found in the policy of nuclear deterrence, how uncertainty and fear can become a source of strength and how increased power of destruction might make us safer. The essays analyze the logical structure of mutually assured destruction theory and of nuclear use theory, the moral arguments of the Pastoral Letter on Deterrence of the National Conference of Catholic Bishops, the nuclear freeze movement and the role of experts in the formulation of nuclear policy. The authors stress the need for responsible public involvement and the obligation of citizens to be informed on these questions. ISBN 0-8476-7329-4 : $29.95.

The Second Nuclear Age

The Second Nuclear Age PDF

Author: Colin S. Gray

Publisher: Lynne Rienner Publishers

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 212

ISBN-13: 9781555873318

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The author takes issue with the complacent belief that a happy mixture of deterrence, arms control and luck will enable humanity to cope adequately with weapons of mass destruction, arguing that the risks are ever more serious.