Currency and Banking Crises

Currency and Banking Crises PDF

Author: Graciela Kaminsky

Publisher:

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

The abruptness and virulence of the 1997 Asian crises have led many to claim that these crises are of a new breed and thus they were unforecastable. This paper examines 102 financial crises in 20 countries and concludes that the Asian crises are not of a new variety. Overall, the 1997 Asian crises, as well as previous crises in other regions, occur when the economies are in distress, making the degree of fragility of the economy a useful indicator of future crises. Based on this idea, the paper proposes different composite leading indicators of crises, which are evaluated in terms of accuracy both in-sample and out-of-sample.

Banking, Currency, and Finance in Europe Between the Wars

Banking, Currency, and Finance in Europe Between the Wars PDF

Author: Charles H. Feinstein

Publisher: Clarendon Press

Published: 1995-09-28

Total Pages: 554

ISBN-13: 9780191521669

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

The financial history of interwar Europe was dominated by catastrophic episodes of hyper-inflation, dramatic exchange rate crises, massive and destabilizing movements of gold and capital, and extensive banking failures. In their attempt to restore and sustain the gold standard as the basis of the international monetary system, many countries were compelled to resort to deflationary fiscal and monetary policies of exceptional severity. The policies thus adopted in the 1920s were a major cause of the Great Depression of 1929-33; and this in turn exerted a powerful influence on the subsequent political and economic history of the 1930s. This collection of essays is the work of an international network of economic historians from Europe and the United States convened by the European Science Foundation. It brings together, in an accessible style, current knowledge and understanding of the nature and effects of these developments in banking, currency, and finance in the interwar period. The topics are examined at three levels. In Part I a substantial introductory survey of the central issues over the entire period is followed by special studies of the banking crises, the global capital flows, and the interrelationship of economic and political policies, with each of these themes considered in an international perspective. Part II is devoted to illuminating comparative analyses of the financial and exchange policies of pairs of countries; France and Italy, Britain and Germany, Sweden and Finland, and Belgium and France. In Part III the essays move to the level of individual countries and each contributor explores topics such as the form and efficacy of official banking and monetary policies, the role of the central bank, movements in the money supply and prices, the relationship between the banks and the industrial sector, changes in exchange rates and foreign capital investment. The volume covers all the major countries, and also makes available the results of recent research on banking and finance in smaller countries, such as Spain, Austria, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Bulgaria, and Ireland. The questions addressed by this book, and the temes and patterns it reveals, are relevant both to economic and political historians of the years between the two world wars, and to those interested in contemporary banking and financial problems.

Twin Crises – The Contribution of Overborrowing to Interdependencies of Banking and Currency Crises

Twin Crises – The Contribution of Overborrowing to Interdependencies of Banking and Currency Crises PDF

Author: Tim Ebner

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2013-02-13

Total Pages: 67

ISBN-13: 3656372144

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Bachelorarbeit aus dem Jahr 2009 im Fachbereich VWL - Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen, Note: 2,3, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster (Institut für Internationale Ökonomie), Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: The occurrence of twin crises can evoke serious recessions. From 1976 to 2002 there were 38 countries afflicted by at least one twin crisis. McKinnon and Pill (1996, 1997, 1998, 1999) set basic milestones in respect of international overborrowing and drew a linkage to twin crises. Their papers are still increasingly cited by current publications. This paper at first systemizes literature on currency, banking and twin crises and gives a review on several contributions. The second section deals with the third generation model of McKinnon and Pill concerning “The Overborrowing Syndrome”. Their key finding is that loan guarantees may lead via excessive borrowing to a twin crisis. After this, policy conclusions to counteract international overborrowing and a review on the development of theoretical overborrowing papers will complete the second section. In section three it will refer to empirical studies on crises and overborrowing. Section four closes with final remarks.

Monetary Impact of a Banking Crisis and the Conduct of Monetary Policy

Monetary Impact of a Banking Crisis and the Conduct of Monetary Policy PDF

Author: Ms.Alicia García-Herrero

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1997-09-01

Total Pages: 84

ISBN-13: 1451854684

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

The experiences of seven countries that have undergone banking crises show that crises have significant implications for the short-run stability of the demand for money, the money multiplier, the transmission mechanism, and the signal variables of monetary policy. Monetary and credit instability, coupled with changes in the nature of the monetary and credit aggregates, complicate monetary management. These findings may require redesigning monetary instruments in favor of faster-reacting instruments, such as open market operations, and introducing additional indicators of the monetary stance, such as asset price and exchange rate movements. More frequent reviews of monetary programs may also be necessary.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications PDF

Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-01-30

Total Pages: 66

ISBN-13: 1475561008

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Assessing Banking and Currency Crisis Risk in Small States

Assessing Banking and Currency Crisis Risk in Small States PDF

Author: Carlo Pizzinelli

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2021-11-19

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 1513599860

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

To complement the early warning signals literature, we study the determinants of banking and currency crises for small states and currency boards. Building on the crisis dataset by Laeven and Valencia (2020), we estimate a binominal logit model to identify the determinants of crises, and as a case study, we apply our models to the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU). Our findings largely confirm past studies’ results that both external and domestic fundamentals matter in predicting crisis likelihood, but we find that small states and fixed exchange rate regimes are more sensitive to these fundamentals, compared to larger economies. Our empirical results also suggest that for currency board economies, keeping a high level of the foreign reserve cover—the “backing ratio” defined as official foreign reserves as a share of central bank demand liabilities—is critical to reduce the likelihood of both banking and currency crises. The backing ratio is particularly important during years of global economic downturn.

Currency, Credit and Crisis

Currency, Credit and Crisis PDF

Author: Patrick Honohan

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2019-05-23

Total Pages: 393

ISBN-13: 1108481892

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Ireland's experience of Europe's most spectacular financial bubble, bust and recovery is narrated and dissected by a central banking insider.

Banking Crises

Banking Crises PDF

Author: Vasudevan Sundararajan

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1991-03-15

Total Pages: 396

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Considers some of the issues on the basis of the experience of several countries that have faced a banking crisis-defined as widespread insolvencies in the financial sector leading to significant government intervention.