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China's Assertive Nuclear Posture

Author: Baohui Zhang

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2015-02-11

Total Pages: 253

ISBN-13: 1317629310

China’s nuclear capability is crucial for the balance of power in East Asia and the world. As this book reveals, there have been important changes recently in China’s nuclear posture: the movement from a minimum deterrence posture toward a medium nuclear power posture; the pursuit of space warfare and missile defence capabilities; and, most significantly, the omission in the 2013 Defence White Paper of any reference to the principle of No First Use. Employing the insights of structural realism, this book argues that the imperatives of an anarchic international order have been the central drivers of China’s nuclear assertiveness. The book also assesses the likely impact of China’s emerging nuclear posture on its neighbours and on the international strategic balance, especially with the United States. The book concludes by examining China’s future nuclear directions in the context of its apparent shift toward a more offensive-oriented international strategy.

China's Changing Nuclear Posture

Author: Ming Zhang

Publisher:

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 110

ISBN-13:

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This inside look at the history and politics of China's changing nuclear posture is based on extensive analysis of Chinese and Western documents and interviews conducted in China. The new data, future scenarios, and unique perspective make it essential reading for any assessment of China's nuclear future. A Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Book

China's Strategic Arsenal

Author: James M. Smith

Publisher: Georgetown University Press

Published: 2021

Total Pages: 280

ISBN-13: 1647120799

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"This volume brings together an international group of distinguished scholars to provide a fresh assessment of China's strategic military capabilities, doctrines, and perceptions in light of rapidly advancing technologies, an expanding and modernizing nuclear arsenal, and increased great-power competition with the United States. China's strategic weapons are its expanding nuclear arsenal and emerging conventional weapons systems such as hypersonic missiles and anti-satellite missiles. China's strategic arsenal is important because of how it affects the dynamics of US-China relations and the relationship between China and its neighbors. Without a doubt China's strategic arsenal is growing in size and sophistication, but this book also examines key uncertainties. Will China's new capabilities and confidence lead it to be more assertive or take more risks? Will China's nuclear traditions (i.e., no first use) change as the strategic balance improves? Will China's approach to military competition in the domains of cyberspace and outer space be guided by a notion of strategic stability or not? Will there be a strategic arms race with the United States? The goal of this book is to update our understanding of these issues and to make predictions about how these dynamics may play out"--

Paper Tigers

Author: Jeffrey G. Lewis

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781138907140

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This book traces the evolution of China's nuclear weapons policies, forces and posture.

China's Nuclear Future

Author: Paul J. Bolt

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 240

ISBN-13:

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?Provides cutting-edge empirical research on a difficult strategic question, while also situating the issue within a nuanced discussion of recent Chinese history and intellectual traditions. China?s Nuclear Future contributes much to a new understanding of China?s nuclear policy past, present, and future.? ?Andrew Oros, Washington CollegeIn the face of significant changes in the contemporary geopolitical environment, China?s longstanding policy of maintaining a minimal nuclear stockpile may also be shifting. China?s Nuclear Future provides a comprehensive overview of both the evolution of China?s nuclear policy and the strategic implications of current developments.The authors examine a full range of issues, from China?s rising economic fortunes to the impact of the U.S.-led war on terror. Their assessment of the drivers and constraints that are transforming China?s nuclear posture is key to understanding not only the country?s possible nuclear futures, but also the broader issue of its role in world politics.Paul J. Bolt is professor of political science at the U.S. Air Force Academy. Albert S. Willner, Colonel, U.S. Army, taught in the Department of Social Sciences at the U.S. Military Academy in 2000-2004; at present, he is pending assignment as the Chief of the Liaison Affairs Section at the American Institute in Taiwan. Contents: China?s Nuclear Future in a Changing Environment?the Editors. Culture, Strategy, and Security?C.A. Cleary. Evolving Nuclear Doctrine?E.S. Medeiros. Strategic Force Modernization?P.C. Saunders and J. Yuan. Beijing?s Perceptions of U.S. Intentions?R.N. Montaperto. The Potential Flashpoint: Taiwan?T. Wai. Alternative Futures?B. Roberts.

2018 Nuclear Posture Review

Author: United States. Department of Defense

Publisher:

Published: 2018-02-02

Total Pages: 97

ISBN-13: 9781072273189

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On January 27, 2017, President Donald Trump directed Secretary of Defense James Mattis to initiate a new Nuclear Posture Review (NPR). The President made clear that his first priority is to protect the United States, allies, and partners. He also emphasized both the long-term goal of eliminating nuclear weapons and the requirement that the United States have modern, flexible, and resilient nuclear capabilities that are safe and secure until such a time as nuclear weapons can prudently be eliminated from the world.The United States remains committed to its efforts in support of the ultimate global elimination of nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons. It has reduced the nuclear stockpile by over 85 percent since the height of the Cold War and deployed no new nuclear capabilities for over two decades. Nevertheless, global threat conditions have worsened markedly since the most recent 2010 NPR, including increasingly explicit nuclear threats from potential adversaries. The United States now faces a more diverse and advanced nuclear-threat environment than ever before, with considerable dynamism in potential adversaries' development and deployment programs for nuclear weapons and delivery systems.

China, Nuclear Weapons, and Arms Control

Author: Robert A. Manning

Publisher: Council on Foreign Relations Press

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 112

ISBN-13:

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The authors then elaborate a preliminary agenda for exploring with China the requirements of strategic stability in the emerging era and of testing Beijing's intention to continue some form of restraint in the years ahead."--BOOK JACKET.

Paper Tigers

Author: Jeffrey Lewis

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2014-10

Total Pages: 159

ISBN-13: 9781138890701

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This book examines how the nuclear weapons policy, forces and posture of the People's Republic of China have evolved from the mid-1950s to the present. Using newly available open-source information, including Chinese-language resources, it documents the development of Chinese views about nuclear weapons, China's nuclear weapons testing program, its production of fissile material and the deployment of its current nuclear forces. The author places the debate about the future of China's nuclear posture in the context of its nuclear past, arguing that the United States and China should focus the current dialogue about nuclear weapons on questions of regional security and strategic stability.

China's Nuclear Posture and Strategic First-use

Author: Graham Gerard Ong-Webb

Publisher:

Published: 2011

Total Pages: 710

ISBN-13:

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This thesis argues that despite China's official declaration of no-first-use (NFU), there is a considerably weak firebreak in the country's nuclear posture that is likely to promote strategic nuclear-first-use during crisis. The thesis arrives at this argument through holistic analysis. Holism is a deeply established method of thinking in the Chinese tradition and continues to be relevant today. It encompasses the idea that all the properties of a given system cannot be determined or explained by its component parts alone. It also emphasises the connections between distinctions and even endeavours to transcend distinctions altogether. However, the salience of holism as a method of analysing Chinese phenomena--including matters in the political, strategic and military realms-- continues to be overlooked by the mainstream tendency to produce reductionist-type accounts. A reductionist-type approach cannot test whether China's NFU policy is credible. This thesis contributes to scholarship by demonstrating that a holistic approach, in contrast, can. A state's nuclear posture can be defined as the product of its nuclear doctrine and capabilities. The argument is grounded in a 'holistic' analysis of (1) the People's Liberation Army's (PLA's) texts covering its strategic and operational nuclear doctrine, and (2) the nuclear and nuclear-related capabilities of the PL A Second Artillery, which operates the bulk of China's strategic nuclear deterrent. The thesis demonstrates the existence of weak firebreaks in both Chinese doctrine and capabilities. It finds that China actually possesses a significantly weak NFU doctrine. Principally, the analysis of this thesis indicates that while China's strategic planners genuinely believe that the imperative of their country's nuclear posture is to uphold deterrence, the concepts and capabilities they believe will enhance deterrence are more likely to erode it.

The Minimum Means of Reprisal

Author: Jeffrey G. Lewis

Publisher: American Academy Studies in Gl

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 292

ISBN-13:

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An analysis of China's nuclear and space capabilities, deployment strategies, and stance in arms control negotiations, and the implications for U.S. defense strategy. In The Minimum Means of Reprisal, Jeffrey Lewis examines China's nuclear and space capabilities and deployment strategies, as well as the Chinese government's stance in arms control negotiations. Lewis finds that Chinese officials hold a "restrained view" about the role of nuclear weapons in national security and maintain a limited nuclear capacity sufficient to deter attack but not large enough for control of these weapons to be compromised. The future of cooperative security arrangements in space will depend largely on the U.S.-Chinese relationship, and Lewis warns that changes in U.S. defense strategy, including the weaponization of space, could signal to China that its capabilities are not sufficient to deter the United States from the use of force. Such a shift could cause China to reconsider its use of restraint in nuclear strategy, further damaging the already weakened arms control regime and increasing the nuclear threat to the United States and the world.