Capital Flows and the Twin Crises

Capital Flows and the Twin Crises PDF

Author: Mr.Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1997-07-01

Total Pages: 33

ISBN-13: 1451850980

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This paper develops a model that focuses on the interaction of liquidity creation by financial intermediaries with capital flows and exchange rate collapses. The intermediaries’ role of transforming maturities is shown to result in larger movements of capital and a higher probability of crisis. These movements resemble the observed cycle in capital flows: large inflows, crisis and abrupt outflows. The model highlights how adverse productivity and international interest rate shocks may trigger a sudden outflow of capital and an exchange collapse. The initial shock is magnified by the behavior of individual foreign investors linked through their deposits in the intermediaries. The expectation of an eventual exchange rate crisis links investors’ behavior even further.

Capital Flows and Crises

Capital Flows and Crises PDF

Author: Barry J. Eichengreen

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 396

ISBN-13: 9780262550598

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An analysis of the connections between capital flows and financial crises as well as between capital flows and economic growth.

Twin Crises – The Contribution of Overborrowing to Interdependencies of Banking and Currency Crises

Twin Crises – The Contribution of Overborrowing to Interdependencies of Banking and Currency Crises PDF

Author: Tim Ebner

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2013-02-13

Total Pages: 67

ISBN-13: 3656372144

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Bachelorarbeit aus dem Jahr 2009 im Fachbereich VWL - Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen, Note: 2,3, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster (Institut für Internationale Ökonomie), Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: The occurrence of twin crises can evoke serious recessions. From 1976 to 2002 there were 38 countries afflicted by at least one twin crisis. McKinnon and Pill (1996, 1997, 1998, 1999) set basic milestones in respect of international overborrowing and drew a linkage to twin crises. Their papers are still increasingly cited by current publications. This paper at first systemizes literature on currency, banking and twin crises and gives a review on several contributions. The second section deals with the third generation model of McKinnon and Pill concerning “The Overborrowing Syndrome”. Their key finding is that loan guarantees may lead via excessive borrowing to a twin crisis. After this, policy conclusions to counteract international overborrowing and a review on the development of theoretical overborrowing papers will complete the second section. In section three it will refer to empirical studies on crises and overborrowing. Section four closes with final remarks.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications PDF

Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-01-30

Total Pages: 66

ISBN-13: 1475561008

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This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Capital Flows and the International Financial System

Capital Flows and the International Financial System PDF

Author: David W. R. Gruen

Publisher:

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13:

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Describes understanding of the causes of financial crises and the best ways to reduce their frequency and severity. Analyses ways in which developing countries can best reduce their vulnerability to capital-flow reversals. Examines suggestions for reforming the international financial system.

Two Crises, Different Outcomes

Two Crises, Different Outcomes PDF

Author: T. J. Pempel

Publisher: Cornell University Press

Published: 2015-05-06

Total Pages: 280

ISBN-13: 0801455014

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Two Crises, Different Outcomes examines East Asian policy reactions to the two major crises of the last fifteen years: the global financial crisis of 2008–9 and the Asian financial crisis of 1997–98. The calamity of the late 1990s saw a massive meltdown concentrated in East Asia. In stark contrast, East Asia avoided the worst effects of the Lehman Brothers collapse, incurring relatively little damage when compared to the financial devastation unleashed on North America and Europe. Much had changed across the intervening decade, not least that China rather than Japan had become the locomotive of regional growth, and that the East Asian economies had taken numerous steps to buffer their financial structures and regulatory regimes. This time Asia avoided disaster; it bounced back quickly after the initial hit and has been growing in a resilient fashion ever since. The authors of this book explain how the earlier financial crisis affected Asian economies, why government reactions differed so widely during that crisis, and how Asian economies weathered the Great Recession. Drawing on a mixture of single-country expertise and comparative analysis, they conclude by assessing the long-term prospects that Asian countries will continue their recent success.

Capital Flows and Financial Crises

Capital Flows and Financial Crises PDF

Author: Miles Kahler

Publisher: Cornell University Press

Published: 2018-09-05

Total Pages: 284

ISBN-13: 1501731408

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Capital flows to the developing economies have long displayed a boom-and-bust pattern. Rarely has the cycle turned as abruptly as it did in the 1990s, however: surges in lending were followed by the Mexican peso crisis of 1994-95 and the sudden collapse of currencies in Asia in 1997. This volume maps a new and uncertain financial landscape, one in which volatile private capital flows and fragile banking systems produce sudden reversals of fortune for governments and economies. This environment creates dilemmas for both national policymakers who confront the "mixed blessing" of capital inflows and the international institutions that manage the recurrent crises.The authors—leading economists and political scientists—examine private capital flows and their consequences in Latin America, Pacific Asia, and East Europe, placing current cycles of lending in historical perspective. National governments have used a variety of strategies to deal with capital-account instability. The authors evaluate those responses, prescribe new alternatives, and consider whether the new circumstances require novel international policies.

Regional and Global Capital Flows

Regional and Global Capital Flows PDF

Author: Takatoshi Ito

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2009-02-15

Total Pages: 404

ISBN-13: 0226387011

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The volume of capital flows between industrial and developing countries has grown dramatically in the past decade and has become a major issue in a world that is increasingly "globalized." Here Takatoshi Ito and Anne O. Krueger, two leading experts on this topic, have assembled a group of scholars who address different types of capital flows—bank lending, bonds, direct foreign investment—and the implications they hold for economic performance. With its particular focus on the Asian financial crises, this work presents a new model for policy makers everywhere in thinking about the role of private capital flows.