Beat the Market with a Provable Trading System at Low Risk

Beat the Market with a Provable Trading System at Low Risk PDF

Author: Jerry Felsen

Publisher: CDS Publishing Company

Published: 2009-11-06

Total Pages: 113

ISBN-13: 0557120012

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This book describes an advanced computer-based options trading system for which we can prove that it should outperform the market averages with a relatively low risk--including its analysis, design, implementation, operation and maintenance.

The Non-Timing Trading System

The Non-Timing Trading System PDF

Author: George O. Head

Publisher: Business Expert Press

Published: 2021-02-09

Total Pages: 131

ISBN-13: 1637420056

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This book will teach you a low risk strategy that will give you consistent average yearly returns of between 20 and 30 percent and beat the S&P 500 year after year. The Non-Timing Trading System is a conservative process for investing in the stock market. This book is perfect for the investors that are dissatisfied with low interest rates and want decent returns on their investment without high risk. The book will teach you a low risk strategy that will give you consistent average yearly returns of between 20 and 30 percent and beat the S&P 500 year after year. The system is based on a mathematical model which is designed to protect your capital even in a market with high volatility while giving you high returns. The author clearly demonstrates that you don't have to time the market and pick the right stock. The market will tell you what it is doing. There are always corrections in the market, even severe ones. The book describes in detail how it handles downturns and how it gets you out of the market before corrections become severe. The author does not just show you a strategy and then leave you hanging. There is a tutorial with five years of trading using the system which covers every possible scenario so that you are never left wondering what to do. This book contains useful and practical information on most of the major stock and option strategies and clearly demonstrates their real risks. Protection of your capital is its highest priority. The investor that is looking for high returns should not have to settle for high risk.

5 Ways to Beat the Market

5 Ways to Beat the Market PDF

Author: Wayne Middlesteadt

Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform

Published: 2012-11-17

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781480075177

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Since the turn of the century, gyrations in the financial markets have brought to light the risk that one is burdened with when investing in stocks. After hitting an all-time high in early 2000, the S&P 500 lost over a third of its value in two years. It recovered the loss only to fall again in 2008, but this time the crash was even worse. In just seventeen months the S&P 500 plummeted 57%! An investment made in 2000 was only worth half its original value nine years later. One is left wondering, "is there a way to invest in stocks that will allow me to make money without keeping me awake at night?" The good news is there is not only one way but five. Drawing on analysis of fifty years worth of data, "Five Ways to Beat the Market" presents five methods that will allow you to make money more quickly than the stock market itself will grow. These methods have the added bonus of getting you out of stocks when the market sours, thereby reducing your risk. Each method is presented with performance data from 1960 through 2009 detailing how much money an investment would have made and how likely a loss would have been. Step by step instructions are included, outlining exactly what you need to do to employ these methods successfully. Ways to boost your performance are also suggested, once the basic methods are covered. Over the fifty year test period, average compounded returns of 12% - 13% per year were recorded while avoiding the huge stock market crashes that have occurred. The "experts" will tell you that the only way to safely invest is to buy stock and hold on to them indefinitely. What they don't tell you is that you'll also need to cross your fingers and pray nothing bad will happen. Once you've mastered the simple methods in this book, you'll no longer need to worry. You will know when to get into the market and when to get out. Not only will you sleep better at night, but you'll enrich yourself in the process.

How to Beat Wall Street

How to Beat Wall Street PDF

Author: J. B. Marwood

Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform

Published: 2013-11-18

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9781494228170

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*Now includes Amibroker code for 20 trading system ideas* How to Beat Wall Street covers everything you need to get started trading in stocks, forex and commodities. This is the perfect book for someone looking for a solid overview of how to trade, from a seasoned professional trader. Plus... 20 powerful trading system ideas are introduced that anyone can use to trade in stocks on a variety of timeframes. What you will learn: - Trading fundamentals: central banks, macro-economics, Keynes and interest rates - Trading philosophies: trend following strategies, mean reversion techniques - Famous traders: Warren Buffett, Jim Rogers & George Soros - Timing: financial ratios, volatility analysis, Dow Theory, stock market cycles - Risk: money management techniques, trading psychology, Kelly criterion - Secrets & tips: news trading, volume analysis, seasonal patterns - Technical analysis: MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, pivot points and naked price action - Trading systems: design & optimisation, 20 stock trading strategies, trend following strategies and mean reversion trading systems - Resources & bonus material: comprehensive resource material, tips for online trading, best trading books bibliography and bonus section. 20 trading systems are back-tested on 10 years of historical data. Including: Trading System 1: Moving average crossover: A simple trend following trading system that uses moving averages to find trends in stocks. Trading System 2: 4 weeks up in a row: A system based on a profitable pattern of four consecutive higher opens. Trading System 3: Trading the noise: A system that finds stocks in smooth trends using a custom formula to calculate market noise. Trading System 4: Trading gradients: A mean reversion reversal system that finds extremely oversold companies based on a custom formula. Plus many more trading strategies, ideas, and of course access to the full How to Beat Wall Street course. You will also learn: - How to trade non-farm payrolls and other news releases. - Volatility and sentiment analysis, bottom-up valuation techniques and PE ratios. - Risk management and optimisation. Finally, you will also receive the tools you need to build your own winning trading system including Amibroker AFL code for every trading system in the book, free Excel stock value calculator and over 60 spreadsheets of historical economic data. "I would put this on a top ten list of books for new traders and I have read hundreds and even written a few of those books myself." - Steve Burns, founder of newtraderu.com and Amazon Vine Voice. "The reason I am giving 5 stars is the generosity of the author in sharing trading system scripts and historical data. For the price paid its an absolute steal and a no-brainer." Please Note: If you have any problems accessing the extra material please contact the author directly.

Options Trading for Beginners

Options Trading for Beginners PDF

Author: Michael J. Sullivan

Publisher:

Published: 2021-02

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 9781801829854

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Would you like to start receiving extra earnings of $100, $200, $500, or even more, right away? If it sounds impossible to you ... it is because you are not yet aware of options' enormous potential. If you want to start creating an alternative income source, financial markets are exactly what you need. Investing is not always risky: in fact, options were conceived as a portfolio protection tool. At the same time, however, they allow for much greater returns than other financial instruments, including shares. How? Simple, by acting like the dealer. In fact, it is possible to arrange market transactions that will have a positive expected value, just like the casino dealer ... mathematically successful in the long run! Have you ever seen a casino lose money? Learn how to use options to generate additional, low-risk income, regardless of how the market will behave. You can make money from any circumstance. The strategies are presented in a clear and concise manner, have a very high probability of success, and are universally recognized as: "The best strategies to start earning in financial markets ..." Here is a portion of what you will find in the book: - The 4 advantages of using options, since they represent the means with which professionals invest; - The "bricks" to build any strategy that every trader must know; - How can I lower my trades' risk? Use the Greeks like a pro; - Is it dangerous to be assigned? The answer will surprise you; - Step-by-step procedure to place an option trade: earn during this step too!; - What are the best strategies to use if I have a small account? Three entire chapters answers to this question; - "Instant cash" strategies that deliver money in your account right away; - The best way to earn if the market does not move: get an above 10% monthly ROI with just 2 trades per month; -... plus, a whole BONUS chapter that will provide you with the exact criteria to trade positive expected value options! This is not a summary of theoretical concepts or complex mathematics, it is instead a book written BY a trader FOR a trader, in which you will find fundamental concepts explained in a straightforward way and lots of practical advice to start trading right away. It is written in plain English and is free from repetitive technical jargon. And if you are still not convinced it is the right choice for you ... Do you need further information on a particular topic? Do you want to discuss about market trends? Do you need any advice? Get in touch and I will be happy to help you with any problem... I am just an email away from you! (you can find the address inside the book). Interest rates are at historic lows right now, some paying less than 1%. While the gains obtained using other financial tools are very limited, if you use what is inside this book you will have the opportunity to achieve much more. With the income you will receive from a single trade you will be able to recoup over 10 times the cost of this book.

The TRENDadvisor Guide to Breakthrough Profits

The TRENDadvisor Guide to Breakthrough Profits PDF

Author: Chuck Dukas

Publisher: Wiley

Published: 2006-06-16

Total Pages: 192

ISBN-13: 0471731226

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This proven system will help you profit in any market environment while trading any financial instrument. Whether you're a seasoned professional trader or newcomer to the world of investing, you must develop a defined methodology and consistently apply it to control risk, preserve capital, and harvest profits. Now, The TRENDadvisor Guide to Breakthrough Profits outlines an integrated approach to market analysis and a sound trading strategy, known as the TRENDadvisor Diamond Methodology, this book will assist traders and investors locate low-risk/high-reward trading opportunities.

The Laws of Trading

The Laws of Trading PDF

Author: Agustin Lebron

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2019-06-18

Total Pages: 310

ISBN-13: 1119574218

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Every decision is a trade. Learn to think about the ones you should do — and the ones you shouldn’t. Trading books generally break down into two categories: the ones which claim to teach you how to make money trading, and the memoir-style books recounting scandals and bad behavior. But the former don't have profitable trades to teach; if they did they'd keep those trades to themselves. And the latter are frequently entertaining, but they don't leave you with much you can apply in your own life. The Laws of Trading is different. All of our relationships and decisions involve trading at some level. This is a book about decision-making through the lens of a professional prop trader. For years, behavioral and cognitive scientists have shown us how human decision-making is flawed and biased. But how do you learn to avoid these problems in day-to-day decisions where you have to react in real-time? What are the important things to think about and to act on? The world needs a book by a prop trader who has lived, breathed and taught trading for a living, drawing upon years of insights on the trading floor in real markets, good and bad, whether going sideways, crashing, or bubbling over. If you can master the decision-making skills needed to profitably trade in modern markets, you can master decision-making in all walks of life. This book will teach you exactly those skills. Introduces, develops, and applies one law per chapter, making it easy not only to remember useful concepts, but also to have them at the ready in any situation. Shows you how to find and think about the “special edge” of your organization, and yourself. Teaches you how to handle the interaction of people with artificially intelligent (AI) machines that make decisions, a skill that is rapidly becoming essential in the AI-driven economy of the future. Includes a "bonus" digital ancillary, an Excel spreadsheet with various worked examples that expand on the scenarios described in the book. Do you need to make rational decisions in a competitive environment? Almost everyone does. This book will teach you the tools that let you do your job better.

Beating the Financial Futures Market

Beating the Financial Futures Market PDF

Author: Art Collins

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2006-09-30

Total Pages: 276

ISBN-13: 0470074329

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Beating the Financial Futures Market provides you with a straightforward, historically proven program to cut through the noise, determine what bits of information are valuable, and integrate those bits into an overall trading program designed to jump on lucrative trading opportunities as they occur. It will help you improve both your percentage of winning trades and the bottom line profitability of those winning trades.

Efficient Asset Management

Efficient Asset Management PDF

Author: Richard O. Michaud

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2008-03-03

Total Pages: 145

ISBN-13: 0199715793

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In spite of theoretical benefits, Markowitz mean-variance (MV) optimized portfolios often fail to meet practical investment goals of marketability, usability, and performance, prompting many investors to seek simpler alternatives. Financial experts Richard and Robert Michaud demonstrate that the limitations of MV optimization are not the result of conceptual flaws in Markowitz theory but unrealistic representation of investment information. What is missing is a realistic treatment of estimation error in the optimization and rebalancing process. The text provides a non-technical review of classical Markowitz optimization and traditional objections. The authors demonstrate that in practice the single most important limitation of MV optimization is oversensitivity to estimation error. Portfolio optimization requires a modern statistical perspective. Efficient Asset Management, Second Edition uses Monte Carlo resampling to address information uncertainty and define Resampled Efficiency (RE) technology. RE optimized portfolios represent a new definition of portfolio optimality that is more investment intuitive, robust, and provably investment effective. RE rebalancing provides the first rigorous portfolio trading, monitoring, and asset importance rules, avoiding widespread ad hoc methods in current practice. The Second Edition resolves several open issues and misunderstandings that have emerged since the original edition. The new edition includes new proofs of effectiveness, substantial revisions of statistical estimation, extensive discussion of long-short optimization, and new tools for dealing with estimation error in applications and enhancing computational efficiency. RE optimization is shown to be a Bayesian-based generalization and enhancement of Markowitz's solution. RE technology corrects many current practices that may adversely impact the investment value of trillions of dollars under current asset management. RE optimization technology may also be useful in other financial optimizations and more generally in multivariate estimation contexts of information uncertainty with Bayesian linear constraints. Michaud and Michaud's new book includes numerous additional proposals to enhance investment value including Stein and Bayesian methods for improved input estimation, the use of portfolio priors, and an economic perspective for asset-liability optimization. Applications include investment policy, asset allocation, and equity portfolio optimization. A simple global asset allocation problem illustrates portfolio optimization techniques. A final chapter includes practical advice for avoiding simple portfolio design errors. With its important implications for investment practice, Efficient Asset Management 's highly intuitive yet rigorous approach to defining optimal portfolios will appeal to investment management executives, consultants, brokers, and anyone seeking to stay abreast of current investment technology. Through practical examples and illustrations, Michaud and Michaud update the practice of optimization for modern investment management.

Online Portfolio Selection

Online Portfolio Selection PDF

Author: Bin Li

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2018-10-30

Total Pages: 212

ISBN-13: 1482249642

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With the aim to sequentially determine optimal allocations across a set of assets, Online Portfolio Selection (OLPS) has significantly reshaped the financial investment landscape. Online Portfolio Selection: Principles and Algorithms supplies a comprehensive survey of existing OLPS principles and presents a collection of innovative strategies that leverage machine learning techniques for financial investment. The book presents four new algorithms based on machine learning techniques that were designed by the authors, as well as a new back-test system they developed for evaluating trading strategy effectiveness. The book uses simulations with real market data to illustrate the trading strategies in action and to provide readers with the confidence to deploy the strategies themselves. The book is presented in five sections that: Introduce OLPS and formulate OLPS as a sequential decision task Present key OLPS principles, including benchmarks, follow the winner, follow the loser, pattern matching, and meta-learning Detail four innovative OLPS algorithms based on cutting-edge machine learning techniques Provide a toolbox for evaluating the OLPS algorithms and present empirical studies comparing the proposed algorithms with the state of the art Investigate possible future directions Complete with a back-test system that uses historical data to evaluate the performance of trading strategies, as well as MATLAB® code for the back-test systems, this book is an ideal resource for graduate students in finance, computer science, and statistics. It is also suitable for researchers and engineers interested in computational investment. Readers are encouraged to visit the authors’ website for updates: http://olps.stevenhoi.org.