Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences PDF

Author: Richard McCleary

Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated

Published: 1980-07

Total Pages: 340

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

McCleary and Hay have made time series analysis techniques -- the Box-Jenkins or ARIMA methods -- accessible to the social scientist. Rejecting the dictum that time series analysis requires substantial mathematical sophistication, the authors take a clearly written, step-by-step approach. They describe the logic behind time series analysis, and its possible applications in impact assessment, causal modelling and forecasting, multivariate time series and parameter estimation.

Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences PDF

Author: Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2014-12-22

Total Pages: 297

ISBN-13: 1316060500

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Time series, or longitudinal, data are ubiquitous in the social sciences. Unfortunately, analysts often treat the time series properties of their data as a nuisance rather than a substantively meaningful dynamic process to be modeled and interpreted. Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences provides accessible, up-to-date instruction and examples of the core methods in time series econometrics. Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, John R. Freeman, Jon C. Pevehouse and Matthew P. Hitt cover a wide range of topics including ARIMA models, time series regression, unit-root diagnosis, vector autoregressive models, error-correction models, intervention models, fractional integration, ARCH models, structural breaks, and forecasting. This book is aimed at researchers and graduate students who have taken at least one course in multivariate regression. Examples are drawn from several areas of social science, including political behavior, elections, international conflict, criminology, and comparative political economy.

Applied Time Series Analysis

Applied Time Series Analysis PDF

Author: Terence C. Mills

Publisher: Academic Press

Published: 2019-02-08

Total Pages: 354

ISBN-13: 0128131179

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Written for those who need an introduction, Applied Time Series Analysis reviews applications of the popular econometric analysis technique across disciplines. Carefully balancing accessibility with rigor, it spans economics, finance, economic history, climatology, meteorology, and public health. Terence Mills provides a practical, step-by-step approach that emphasizes core theories and results without becoming bogged down by excessive technical details. Including univariate and multivariate techniques, Applied Time Series Analysis provides data sets and program files that support a broad range of multidisciplinary applications, distinguishing this book from others. Focuses on practical application of time series analysis, using step-by-step techniques and without excessive technical detail Supported by copious disciplinary examples, helping readers quickly adapt time series analysis to their area of study Covers both univariate and multivariate techniques in one volume Provides expert tips on, and helps mitigate common pitfalls of, powerful statistical software including EVIEWS and R Written in jargon-free and clear English from a master educator with 30 years+ experience explaining time series to novices Accompanied by a microsite with disciplinary data sets and files explaining how to build the calculations used in examples

Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences PDF

Author: Regina Baker

Publisher: Wiley

Published: 2024-06-04

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780470749937

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Explore this indispensable and comprehensive guide to time series analysis for students and practitioners in a wide variety of disciplines Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences: Specification, Estimation, and Inference delivers an accessible guide to time series analysis that includes both theory and practice. The coverage spans developments from ARIMA intervention models and generalized least squares to the London School of Economics (LSE) approach and vector autoregression. Designed to break difficult concepts into manageable pieces while offering plenty of examples and exercises, the author demonstrates the use of lag operator algebra throughout to provide a better understanding of dynamic specification and the connections between model specifications that appear to be more different than they are. The book is ideal for those with minimal mathematical experience, intended to follow a course in multiple regression, and includes exercises designed to build general skills such as mathematical expectation calculations to derive means and variances. Readers will also benefit from the inclusion of: A focus on social science applications and a mix of theory and detailed examples provided throughout An accompanying website with data sets and examples in Stata, SAS and R A simplified unit root testing strategy based on recent developments An examination of various uses and interpretations of lagged dependent variables and the common pitfalls students and researchers face in this area An introduction to LSE methodology such as the COMFAC critique, general-to-specific modeling, and the use of forecasting to evaluate and test models Perfect for students and professional researchers in the political sciences, public policy, sociology, and economics, Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences: Specification, Estimation, and Inference will also earn a place in the libraries of post graduate students and researchers in public health, public administration and policy, and education.

Applied Time Series Analysis with R

Applied Time Series Analysis with R PDF

Author: Wayne A. Woodward

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2017-02-17

Total Pages: 460

ISBN-13: 1498734316

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis with R, Second Edition includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides an R-based software package to aid in addressing time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The material is organized in an optimal format for graduate students in statistics as well as in the natural and social sciences to learn to use and understand the tools of applied time series analysis. Features Gives readers the ability to actually solve significant real-world problems Addresses many types of nonstationary time series and cutting-edge methodologies Promotes understanding of the data and associated models rather than viewing it as the output of a "black box" Provides the R package tswge available on CRAN which contains functions and over 100 real and simulated data sets to accompany the book. Extensive help regarding the use of tswge functions is provided in appendices and on an associated website. Over 150 exercises and extensive support for instructors The second edition includes additional real-data examples, uses R-based code that helps students easily analyze data, generate realizations from models, and explore the associated characteristics. It also adds discussion of new advances in the analysis of long memory data and data with time-varying frequencies (TVF).

Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences

Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences PDF

Author: Regina M. Baker

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2021

Total Pages: 448

ISBN-13: 9781119010494

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Explore this indispensable and comprehensive guide to time series analysis for students and practitioners in a wide variety of disciplines Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences: Specification, Estimation, and Inference delivers an accessible guide to time series analysis that includes both theory and practice. The coverage spans developments from ARIMA intervention models and generalized least squares to the London School of Economics (LSE) approach and vector autoregression. Designed to break difficult concepts into manageable pieces while offering plenty of examples and exercises, the author demonstrates the use of lag operator algebra throughout to provide a better understanding of dynamic specification and the connections between model specifications that appear to be more different than they are. The book is ideal for those with minimal mathematical experience, intended to follow a course in multiple regression, and includes exercises designed to build general skills such as mathematical expectation calculations to derive means and variances. Readers will also benefit from the inclusion of: A focus on social science applications and a mix of theory and detailed examples provided throughout An accompanying website with data sets and examples in Stata, SAS and R A simplified unit root testing strategy based on recent developments An examination of various uses and interpretations of lagged dependent variables and the common pitfalls students and researchers face in this area An introduction to LSE methodology such as the COMFAC critique, general-to-specific modeling, and the use of forecasting to evaluate and test models Perfect for students and professional researchers in the political sciences, public policy, sociology, and economics, Applied Time Series Analysis for the Social Sciences: Specification, Estimation, and Inference will also earn a place in the libraries of post graduate students and researchers in public health, public administration and policy, and education.

Interrupted Time Series Analysis

Interrupted Time Series Analysis PDF

Author: David McDowall

Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 201

ISBN-13: 0190943947

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Interrupted Time Series Analysis develops a comprehensive set of models and methods for drawing causal inferences from time series. It provides example analyses of social, behavioral, and biomedical time series to illustrate a general strategy for building AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) impact models. Additionally, the book supplements the classic Box-Jenkins-Tiao model-building strategy with recent auxiliary tests for transformation, differencing, and model selection. Not only does the text discuss new developments, including the prospects for widespread adoption of Bayesian hypothesis testing and synthetic control group designs, but it makes optimal use of graphical illustrations in its examples. With forty completed example analyses that demonstrate the implications of model properties, Interrupted Time Series Analysis will be a key inter-disciplinary text in classrooms, workshops, and short-courses for researchers familiar with time series data or cross-sectional regression analysis but limited background in the structure of time series processes and experiments.

Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences

Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences PDF

Author: Youseop Shin

Publisher: Univ of California Press

Published: 2017-02-07

Total Pages: 244

ISBN-13: 0520293169

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

"This book focuses on fundamental elements of time-series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time-series analysis for their research and practice. Avoiding extraordinary mathematical materials, this book explains univariate time-series analysis step-by-step, from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals to the prediction and the evaluation of estimated models. Then, this book explains smoothing, multiple time-series analysis, and interrupted time-series analysis. At the end of each step, this book coherently provides an analysis of the monthly violent-crime rates as an example."--Provided by publisher.

Introduction to Time Series Analysis

Introduction to Time Series Analysis PDF

Author: Mark Pickup

Publisher: SAGE Publications

Published: 2014-10-15

Total Pages: 233

ISBN-13: 1483313115

DOWNLOAD EBOOK →

Introducing time series methods and their application in social science research, this practical guide to time series models is the first in the field written for a non-econometrics audience. Giving readers the tools they need to apply models to their own research, Introduction to Time Series Analysis, by Mark Pickup, demonstrates the use of—and the assumptions underlying—common models of time series data including finite distributed lag; autoregressive distributed lag; moving average; differenced data; and GARCH, ARMA, ARIMA, and error correction models. “This volume does an excellent job of introducing modern time series analysis to social scientists who are already familiar with basic statistics and the general linear model.” —William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University