Alliance Formation in Civil Wars

Alliance Formation in Civil Wars PDF

Author: Fotini Christia

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2012-11-12

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 1139851756

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Some of the most brutal and long-lasting civil wars of our time involve the rapid formation and disintegration of alliances among warring groups, as well as fractionalization within them. It would be natural to suppose that warring groups form alliances based on shared identity considerations - such as Christian groups allying with Christian groups - but this is not what we see. Two groups that identify themselves as bitter foes one day, on the basis of some identity narrative, might be allies the next day and vice versa. Nor is any group, however homogeneous, safe from internal fractionalization. Rather, looking closely at the civil wars in Afghanistan and Bosnia and testing against the broader universe of fifty-three cases of multiparty civil wars, Fotini Christia finds that the relative power distribution between and within various warring groups is the primary driving force behind alliance formation, alliance changes, group splits and internal group takeovers.

Quagmire in Civil War

Quagmire in Civil War PDF

Author: Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2020-01-09

Total Pages: 345

ISBN-13: 1108486762

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Rebuts the pervasive 'folk' notion that quagmire is intrinsic to a country or civil war. Shows that quagmire is made, not found.

The Origins of Alliances

The Origins of Alliances PDF

Author: Stephen M. Walt

Publisher: Cornell University Press

Published: 2013-08-10

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 0801469988

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How are alliances made? In this book, Stephen M. Walt makes a significant contribution to this topic, surveying theories of the origins of international alliances and identifying the most important causes of security cooperation between states. In addition, he proposes a fundamental change in the present conceptions of alliance systems. Contrary to traditional balance-of-power theories, Walt shows that states form alliances not simply to balance power but in order to balance threats. Walt begins by outlining five general hypotheses about the causes of alliances. Drawing upon diplomatic history and a detailed study of alliance formation in the Middle East between 1955 and 1979, he demonstrates that states are more likely to join together against threats than they are to ally themselves with threatening powers. Walt also examines the impact of ideology on alliance preferences and the role of foreign aid and transnational penetration. His analysis show, however, that these motives for alignment are relatively less important. In his conclusion, he examines the implications of "balance of threat" for U.S. foreign policy.

Alliance Formation in Civil Wars

Alliance Formation in Civil Wars PDF

Author: Fotini Christia

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2012-11-12

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 1107023025

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This book argues power balances, rather than shared identities, explain why warring Afghan groups aligned with and double-crossed each other.

Dangerous Alliances

Dangerous Alliances PDF

Author: Patricia A. Weitsman

Publisher: Stanford University Press

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 9780804748667

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Military alliances drive international politics. They embody conflict and cooperation among states and shape the international political landscape. Despite the profound effect alliances have on the course of international politics, many gaps remain in our understanding of their formation, continuance, and cohesion. In this book, Patricia Weitsman introduces a comprehensive theory that unifies current ideas about alliances and examines the relationship between threat and alliance politics under conditions of both war and peace. Examining military alliances before and during World War I, Weitsman provides a new interpretation of the politics of the great powers of this period. She reveals that states frequently form alliances to keep peace among the allied countries, not simply to counter shared external threats. Though alliances may be perceived by others to present a unified and threatening front, countries often face significant threats from within their own alliances. It is this paradox that underscores Weitsman's theory: although alliances are frequently forged to sustain peace, they may, in fact, increase the prospects of war.

Joining the Fray

Joining the Fray PDF

Author: Assoc Prof Zachary C Shirkey

Publisher: Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.

Published: 2012-12-28

Total Pages: 415

ISBN-13: 1409470911

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National leaders often worry that civil wars might spread, but also seem to have little grasp on which civil wars will in fact draw in other states. An ability to understand which civil wars are most likely to draw in outside powers and when this is likely to happen has important policy implications as well as simply answering a scholarly question. Joining the Fray takes existing explanations about which outside states are likely to intervene militarily in civil wars and adds to them explanations about when states join and why. Building on his earlier volume, Is this a Private Fight or Can Anybody Join?, Zachary C. Shirkey looks at how the decision to join a civil war can be intuitively understood as follows: given that remaining neutral was wise when a war began something must change in order for a country to change its beliefs about the benefits of fighting and join the war. This book studies what these changes are, focusing in particular on revealed information and commitment problems.

The Logic of Violence in Civil War

The Logic of Violence in Civil War PDF

Author: Stathis N. Kalyvas

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2006-05-01

Total Pages: 20

ISBN-13: 113945692X

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By analytically decoupling war and violence, this book explores the causes and dynamics of violence in civil war. Against the prevailing view that such violence is an instance of impenetrable madness, the book demonstrates that there is logic to it and that it has much less to do with collective emotions, ideologies, and cultures than currently believed. Kalyvas specifies a novel theory of selective violence: it is jointly produced by political actors seeking information and individual civilians trying to avoid the worst but also grabbing what opportunities their predicament affords them. Violence, he finds, is never a simple reflection of the optimal strategy of its users; its profoundly interactive character defeats simple maximization logics while producing surprising outcomes, such as relative nonviolence in the 'frontlines' of civil war.

Insurgent Fragmentation in the Horn of Africa

Insurgent Fragmentation in the Horn of Africa PDF

Author: Michael Woldemariam

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2018-02-15

Total Pages: 334

ISBN-13: 1108534384

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When insurgent organizations factionalize and fragment, it can profoundly shape a civil war: its intensity, outcome, and duration. In this extended treatment of this complex and important phenomenon, Michael Woldemariam examines why rebel organizations fragment through a unique historical analysis of the Horn of Africa's civil wars. Central to his view is that rebel factionalism is conditioned by battlefield developments. While fragmentation is caused by territorial gains and losses, counter-intuitively territorial stalemate tends to promote rebel cohesion and is a critical basis for cooperation in war. As a rare effort to examine these issues in the context of the Horn of Africa region, based upon extensive fieldwork, this book will interest both scholarly and non-scholarly audiences interested in insurgent groups and conflict dynamics.

Grand Strategy and Military Alliances

Grand Strategy and Military Alliances PDF

Author: Peter R. Mansoor

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2016-02-09

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 1107136024

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A broad-ranging study of the relationship between alliances and the conduct of grand strategy, examined through historical case studies.